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外媒分析班农离职或对中美关系“利好”

2017-08-21 12:50:04   参考消息网

美国财政部和世界银行前官员、目前在布鲁金斯学会任职的杜大伟说:“我们对他们强行提高关税,他们就会屈服的想法,我确定这是错误的。”

俄新社8月17日发表了俄新社观察家弗拉基米尔·阿尔达耶夫的题为《华盛顿惩罚自己:美中贸易战将如何收场》的文章。

美国总统特朗普的主要战略顾问班农表示,美国和中国的经济战已经打响。特朗普已授权美国贸易代表莱特希泽对中国窃取美国技术和知识产权的行为进行“调查”。华盛顿人为限制中国进口的做法虽然会令北京难受,但更痛苦的是美国自己。

俄罗斯战略交流中心主任德米特里·阿布扎洛夫说:“如今,中国经济已经与包括美国在内的世界经济紧密融为一体,想在破坏中国经济的同时不波及美国企业和消费者是不可能的。”

如果提高中国商品的进口税,白宫惩罚的与其说是中国生产商,倒不如说是早就在中国投产的美国企业。

中国可能对美国采取的反制措施可就严重得多了。如果北京作出对称回应,对进口美国商品进行限制,美国厂商就难以在中国销售农产品、飞机、汽车和其他商品。而中国寻找新供应商比美国寻找新消费者容易得多。

阿布扎洛夫说:“如果爆发贸易战,美国企业可能失去中国销售市场——全球规模最大、发展最快的市场之一。况且,中国人口是美国的三倍,与已经过分饱和的美国市场不同,中国消费市场正在不断扩大,其购买力不断增强。这就是美中贸易战没有赢家、只能双输的原因。”

香港《南华早报》网站8月18日发表了题为《对挑起美中贸易战的兴趣不大》的社论。

美国总统特朗普已批准其政府针对中国的首次直接贸易措施——对涉嫌窃取知识产权的行为展开调查。然而,在许多人看来,这一调查与其说预示着贸易战进一步逼近,不如说是在现阶段摆摆样子。政界人士和产业团体称调查将损害企业和就业。

中国日渐成为美国所擅长的高科技产品的消费市场而不是制造中心。因此,可以预料,美国公司会强烈抵制与中国展开贸易战。事实上,随着世界经济的相互关联度越来越高和中国作为消费市场的重要性越来越强,与中国展开贸易战将适得其反。

毕竟,特朗普是靠许诺创造就业机会当选总统的,而那个许诺不可能通过贸易战来兑现。

责任编辑:高宗影 CN060
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