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滴滴程维:三十年后 市内交通将交给无人驾驶的飞行器

2017-09-27 11:32:53   

令人惊讶的是,滴滴研究院不仅要聘请技术专家,还对经济学、社会学、人类学、心理学等各方面专家有极大的需求。因为滴滴平台上集合的乘客和司机的数量已经太多,超出了以往任何社会模型,很多方面需要重新探讨经济模型和伦理问题。比如说,高峰期的车辆分配,理论上是需求决定价格,但实际上考虑到乘客的即时性需求,这个“自由市场”已经不能忽视竞价本身制造的交易成本。滴滴不得不以居间平台的身份直接定价,一方面高峰期溢价全部付与司机,保证平台的中立性;另一方面又为每一笔交易指定合理的价格。在这之前还没有交易平台直接定价的有效案例,这些交易流程涉及的社会矛盾,既是学者们的难题,也是前所未有的学术“金矿”,值得深入研究。

滴滴研究院不仅仅研究汽车和人类,还直接参与了基础设施升级改造的工作,例如参与雄安新区的交通道路规划设计。目前滴滴已经在济南等地开始推进智能交通项目,通过大数据指挥红绿灯周期。在很多区域减少了20%以上拥堵,并开行“拉链车”,在主干道上动态设置潮汐车道,让路和红绿灯联网。在新建城区,滴滴还尝试为新建的城区设置没有固定站点的互联网小巴,以很低的成本明显提升交通效率。这一切的基础都是滴滴积累的海量数据。

滴滴智慧交通诱导屏在济南等城市应用

对于30年后的交通,程维严肃地设想,市内交通终究将交给无人驾驶的飞行器,以三维交通解决三维城市的问题。而长距离交通将由三倍音速高铁和飞机承担,中国大城市之间的时间差单位将从“小时”变成“分钟”。考虑到过去30年中国天翻地覆的变化,这个科幻式的未来似乎并不遥远。

滴滴的未来通往科幻时代,另一端则扎根于现实的中国社会。程维在访谈中还提到了出租车-网约车融合等问题。程维认为,网约车和出租车并非不能相容,互联网提供的效率增量可以平和地化解两者的矛盾,让出租车插上互联网的翅膀。甚至外国现有的出租车行业也可以成为滴滴的合作者。今年金砖会议前,滴滴已在所有金砖国家通过“模式出海”的合作方式开展网约车服务,希望将来像航空业“星空联盟”那样,为中国乃至全世界游客提供“无缝化”的环球旅行服务。

下面为观察者网对滴滴出行创始人、CEO程维的访谈全文(采写/马前卒 编辑/关文平):

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