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30亿美元债务压身 360回归A股冲上3800亿估值快车道

2017-09-18 07:56:42   中国经济网

一旦完成在A股上市,以上问题或许都能迎刃而解。此前,中金公司报告指出,如360回归A股上市,其市值将高达3800亿元人民币,相当于在美股的市值扩大近7倍。根据中金公司报告,这3800亿元的估值是通过对公司各项业务进行拆分,按照A股同类上市公司市值对比再进行求和得来的。其中,PSP(掌上游戏娱乐平台)业务估值1400亿元、搜索业务1100亿元、游戏业务740亿元、企业安全业务420亿元、智能手机业务140亿元,加起来就是3800亿元。

对此,市场有声音认为,3800亿元的估值还并未算上360的“IP”溢价,即 “奇虎360”、明星企业家“周鸿祎”的品牌价值。

记者采访的其他互联网专业人士也基本对这一估值表示认可。中国互联网协会专家、苏宁金融研究院特约研究员向远之就对《投资者报》记者表示:360回归是符合中概股大趋势的,中金公司给出的3800亿元估值也基本合理,因为360可以说是优质的中概股,其质地比乐视和暴风好,但也是因为乐视的原因,资本市场目前对互联网企业估值相对比较谨慎,恐怕也不敢太过于高估。

一场资本盛宴?

360可以说是名符其实的中国网络安全第一股,2016年5月,赛迪顾问发布的《中国大数据安全分析市场白皮书》披露, 360企业安全以25%的市场份额,名列行业第一。此外,360的浏览器业务也在国内市场上占据较高份额,在智能手机、智能穿戴、智能家居、视频直播、游戏等业务方面均有布局。

总体而言,360可以算是近年来准备回归A股的中概股中的优质公司,因此,资本市场也对它的回归给予了极大关注。而现在各方关注的焦点就在于,如果是以借壳形式回归,那么什么样的壳会成为360的目标?向远之对这个问题的回答是:选择目标公司的标准需要是比较清楚的壳,方便重组,上市后会对网络安全板块有所帮助,提振网络安全板块的整体估值。

目前还有传闻称,被借壳的标的公司已经停牌了,这让不少投资者开始从众多停牌股票中一一排查。不过在目前没有正式消息发布的情况下,与其捕风捉影地去寻找可能的“壳”,不如关注一下那些通过参股或间接参股360的公司更为靠谱一些。因为随着360上市后市值的暴涨,这些公司的投资收益大涨也是大概率的事。

根据公开披露的股权方信息,目前A股市场中持有360公司股权(含多级间接持股)较多的公司有中信国安、天业股份、浙江永强、炬华科技等。

但值得关注的是,上个月有传闻称,360旗下的直播平台“北京时间”正在裁员,目的是为了优化利润表,随后360公司对此进行了否认。显然,为了增强公司的持续盈利能力,360近年来除了继续做强安全、浏览器等主业,还有许多新的业务板块布局。但这些新业务布局距离贡献利润或许还有较长的时间。目前360未对外公布太多新业务的财务数据,对这些业务板块的运行情况,外界知之不多。《投资者报》记者查阅第三方研究机构的相关报告,比如在众多关于中国智能手机出货量的市场报告中,360手机难觅身影。向远之也对记者表示,360手机做得很一般,目前特性并不明显,在市场上也几乎没有太大声响。

此前回归A股的中概股中,也不乏一些携着光环而来,却在坐享A股远高于美股的估值差异后大举套现的例子。比如巨人网络借壳世纪游轮的案例中,在2015年11月开始,历经20个涨停,到2015年12月市值最高达到近1500亿元之后,又在2016年开启了下跌之路,到2016年6月时,股价已从最高点腰斩。

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