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中国社科院拉美所中美洲和加勒比研究中心秘书长王鹏指出,早在查韦斯时代,委内瑞拉就曾提出要用美元以外的货币作为国际结算货币,但一直未能实施。马杜罗政府放弃美元这一硬通货而采用一揽子货币,更多是一种抗议性的政策主张,而不是真正的经济措施。
他认为,委内瑞拉目前经济不够强势,外汇储备也捉襟见肘,若马杜罗政府没有为实施这一政策做好相应准备,委国内汇率波动恐将进一步加剧,并最终导致外汇结算混乱,加大企业在委投资、经营的困难。
中国社科院拉美所研究员岳云霞表示,在经历了国际金融危机之后,一部分发展中国家发现其货币汇率跟美元挂钩后,本国经济对美国的依附性更强,经济波动风险加大,因此开始选择以包括人民币在内的一揽子货币作为国际结算货币,这对于人民币国际化来说是一件好事。
她强调,委内瑞拉引入一揽子货币的决定包含着增强经济自主性、降低汇率波动等理性成分在内。但由于目前正值美国宣布对委内瑞拉实施金融制裁后不久,委方的这一决定也存在一定的应激反应成分。
岳云霞认为,委内瑞拉和美国在经济、金融上有着根深蒂固的联系,仅靠金融很难从根本上改变这一局面。因此,委方希望实施的一揽子货币政策对改善委国内经济现状可能不会有太明显的作用。
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