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A股四季度掘金攻略:价值投资获热捧 题材股亦可追求

2017-09-09 07:36:51   中国经济网

海康威视(002415) 新利润增长点出现

海通证券指出,人工智能技术在计算机视觉中得到应用,安防属于好的应用场景,同时公司具有强大的研发实力。2016年公司推出基于GPU/VPU和深度学习技术的“深眸”系列智能摄像机、“超脑”NVR、“脸谱”人脸分析服务器等系列产品。公司的计算机视觉产品覆盖前端到后端,在云和端再平衡的人工智能变革下,前端+后端的人工智能行业应用解决方案更加具有竞争力。大数据存储效率提升加速人工智能后端产品的落地,计算机视觉产品覆盖前后端为公司贡献新的盈利增长点。

锂电池

产业链长期机会凸显

目前,行业规范与目录、补贴、长期发展规划等三类政策陆续出台,对新能源行业影响正面。今年以来第1-7批新能源汽车推荐目录发布时间间隔约1个月,发布常态化,新能源车双积分政策等有望逐步落地,行业增长驱动力由政策扶持转向市场化需求。业内人士预计未来市场向节能与新能源方向转型,新能源乘用车、专用车较快增长将拉动三元锂电池及相关电池材料出货量增长。

随着新能源车销量下半年季节性旺季来临,叠加2018年增速好于2017年,预计下半年新能源客车逐渐回暖,新能源乘用车与专用车实现较快增长。中金公司分析师李璇指出,2017年下半年-2018年锂电池与材料产业链增长,预计2017年、2018年新能源车销量增速38%、57%。看好锂电池产业链长期投资机会,畅销车型将继续拉动锂电池与材料龙头公司出货量增长。

国泰君安证券分析师徐云飞则表示,未来三年在售价降幅超40%的情况下,电池竞争将更加聚焦技术水平、生产效率及成本管控能力,具有设备后发优势的新兴巨头及当前供需关系稳定的锂电巨头在此阶段中有望强化竞争力。

其中,未来龙头企业供应关系稳定化、市场份额集中,但目前离40GWh目标仍有差距,扩产动能仍较大,仍看好龙头锂电企业的降成本及客户竞争优势,继续推荐行业龙头标的。徐云飞表示看好量价齐升的正极材料环节,推荐杉杉股份、当升科技;看好新能源汽车产业龙头企业,推荐比亚迪;看好锂电隔膜龙头供应商,推荐创新股份、星源材质、沧州明珠;看好锂电结构件龙头企业,推荐科达利;看好锂电龙头企业,推荐国轩高科、鹏辉能源。

潜力股精选

杉杉股份(600884) 转型电池材料龙头

公司转型为全球最大的锂电池材料综合供应商,各项业务快速成长。2017上半年公司实现营业收入38.52亿元,同比增长57.79%,扣非后归母净利润2.55亿元,同比增长26.56%,其中锂电材料业务占比将近80%。东兴证券指出,公司电解液业务起步较晚但进展迅速,预计年底电解液产能将达3.5万吨/年。公司通过收购巨化凯蓝延伸上游六氟磷酸锂环节,增强自身成本把控能力,提高技术实力,有助于电解液业务持续性改善,盈利能力提升空间巨大。

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