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长江证券分析师张宇生指出,短期看基建,长期看全球优质资源对接厦门同金砖国家的合作正在加快,2017年上半年,福建与金砖国家贸易额为494.2亿元人民币,同比增长67.7%。短期来看,完善基础设施是厦门承接会议后的重要任务,金砖会议有效拉动了基础设施建设投资。从未来中长期发展看,“金砖”会晤及厦洽会等活动将进一步提升国际影响力,有助于开展引技引智相结合的境外招商工作,继而对接全球的优质资源。
三主线把握投资机会
鼓浪屿列入世界文化遗产名录、厦门金砖五国峰会筹备举办,均为厦门提供“内外兼修”的契机,厦门国际关注度及影响力将明显提升,三季度中后期,厦门本地股有望成为市场关注焦点。
张宇生指出,对主题投资而言,时间窗口的把握至关重要。通过复盘G20和西藏周年庆,当前正是厦门金砖会议主题的时间窗口,并于事件兑现前10天左右达到高点。厦门金砖会议主题下,可以重点把握两条主线,一条是厦门本地优势产业,即交运;另一条是参与金砖会议合作的公司。
国金证券建议沿着三条投资主线看厦门金砖会议投资机会。一是“一带一路”+福建自贸区,这是因为金砖会议的召开将进一步推动厦门作为“一带一路”港口城市的战略地位,同时也会吸引更多的外商进入厦门本地;二是外贸业务驱动物流业的发展,因为潜在的外商介入和与他国贸易业务的提升对本地的物流业有一定的刺激作用;三是本地电子产业的发展。
福建板块预计将受到带动持续升温,兴业证券指出三方面投资机会,一是城市建设,基建先行,高速、水泥等板块本地股受关注;二是加深经济合作,旅游贸易是重点;三是具备高附加值的高端制造业将加速“出海”。记者 张怡
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