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“巨无霸”诞生 国改概念再受瞩目
2017-08-30 07:36:38 中国经济网
光大证券表示,本次国电集团、神华集团的合并以及国电电力、中国神华之间发生的重大资产重组,虽不是此前市场预期的“五并三”,但其必将对煤炭-电力产业链内所有参与者产生深远而重大的影响,一如当年五大发电集团的诞生给行业带来的新气象。而在电力体制改革棋至中盘、供给侧改革稳步推进之际,电力行业央企整合、重组也将是未来2-3年行业内最重要的事件及趋势。
一直以来国企改革就是市场的投资热点。2015年时,由中国南车和中国北车的合并所带动起的国企改革概念被认为是推动上一轮“牛市”的主要驱动之一,彼时,南北车的股价上涨近6倍。按照发布公告时间节点算,南北车合并是从2014年10月24日开始的,当日中国南车的收盘价为5.80元,短短半年时间,因为合并重大利好,南北车股价涨幅近6倍,最高时曾触及38.99元。在此期间,上证指数也几乎翻了一倍。正因国改概念显著的拉动效应,此次国电集团和神华集团的合并及其重组后可能的走势当前再次聚集着众多投资者的目光。
分析人士认为,短期来看,央企重组可能会带来相关公司股价的快速上涨,同时影响到行业相关公司的股价表现。此前,这种影响大多是偏向正面的。长远来看,如果合并重组顺利开展,原先盈利能力较差的央企有望通过重组提升业绩,从而提高股价,权重股整体表现的提升也能提振市场信心,并带动相关概念股活跃,而权重股整体表现的提升也将对大盘走势产生一定的提振。
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