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偏爱绩优蓝筹布局新兴产业 “国家队”投资路线图显露

2017-08-18 11:04:57   中国经济网

某大型私募人士对中国证券报记者表示,证金、汇金均加仓银行、券商,尤其是在二季度保险板块大幅上涨的背景下,选择增持券商和银行是大势所趋,目前二者市盈率均处于低位,在行业稳健发展的背景下,其市场潜力还是值得机构资金认可。

“券商在经历了2016年以来业绩的同比大幅下滑后,行业的盈利增速正在稳步修复,尤其是龙头券商的恢复程度已经非常可观。”天风策略分析师徐彪指出,券商的PB目前仍在相对底部的位置,将2007年每月末PB值排序发现,当前估值的历史分位已接近后20%。在监管层对防范金融风险、加强金融监管的力度持续加大的背景之下,综合实力较强的大型券商具有较高的风险管理能力,可以预见一些投行、并购、资管等业务会逐渐向大券商转移,很可能进一步加快龙头券商集中度提升的过程。

“银行方面,整体业绩出现触底迹象,银监会近日发布数据显示,截至二季度末,商业银行当年已累计实现净利润9703亿元,同比增长7.92%,利润增速有所回升;商业银行不良贷款率1.74%,与上季末持平。”分析人士指出,虽然目前只有三家上市银行披露了半年报,但是“国家队”的身影频现。二季度,证金公司增持平安银行,持股比例从一季度末的2.79%增至二季度末的3.22%,目前持股数量达到5.5亿股;华夏银行则在二季度被证金公司增持8879.35万股,持股比例至2.9%。

值得一提的是,*ST钒钛、*ST大有、*ST一重3只股票同时获得证金公司和中央汇金的青睐。东方财富choice数据显示,*ST钒钛更是被证金公司和中央汇金重仓持有,期末累计持股25777.06万股,对应持股市值近8亿元。此前,*ST钒钛自2017年5月5日起暂停上市。不过,8月14日晚间,*ST钒钛发布的2017年中报显示,今年上半年*ST钒钛归属于上市公司股东的净利润约4.15亿元,比去年同期增长149.73%,去年同期则为亏损8.36亿元。

积极布局新兴产业龙头

分析人士指出,“国家队”上半年青睐低估值优质蓝筹股,同时创业板也受到较多关注。多数偏好配置业绩兑现度较好的周期行业、新能源汽车等热点行业,以及雄安新区、国企混改等相关主题板块。

从板块来看,西南证券分析师朱斌认为,二季度“国家队”大幅度增持创业板公司,显示创业板在当前位置已经具有战略投资价值,某些个股二季度的股价获得了机构的认可,这也显示其股价在这一位置具有较高的安全边际。同时,国家对创新创业的扶持力度加大,战略性新兴产业的发展前景再次获得提升。

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