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债券通开局良好 成金融开放新枢纽

2017-07-07 18:30:43   经济参考报

德意志银行中国区总经理高峰则称,“外资参与中国境内债券市场程度的加深,将在中长期内改善中国国际收支平衡、助力丰富境内市场投资者结构的多样性、优化债券市场的流动性和定价机制、提高市场透明度,并增强境内和全球市场基础设施之间的连通。这些都终将推动人民币国际化的长期发展。”

渣打中国行长张晓蕾直言,自从人民币被纳入特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子,中国债券之于全球债券指数的影响便日益上升,境外投资者对中国债券的需求也随之增长。考虑到进入中国银行间债券市场的渠道正不断丰富,预计2017年下半年海外投资者持有的中国在岸债券规模会增加1000亿元人民币,到今年年底将升至9500亿元人民币。

机构提供的数据显示,“债券通”试运行首日共有19家报价机构、70家境外机构达成142笔,合计70.48亿元的交易。交易以买入为主,共买入128笔,规模为49.04亿元,充分体现出了境外机构的投资热情。交易券种涵盖国债、政策性金融债、政府支持机构债券、同业存单、中期票据、短期融资券和企业债等各种类型。

汇丰美国亚洲离岸产品分销主管阿普拉蒂姆·查克拉瓦蒂表示:“‘债券通’的启动是美国投资者直接参与中国市场发展的重要机遇。中国已是世界第三大债券市场,该机制可令美国机构对中国本地债券大幅增持。”

助力接入国际主流债券指数

理论研究表明,多元化的投资者结构有助于激活市场交易,并进一步增加境内金融市场的规模和深度,提高债券市场定价效率。

“现阶段,境内债券的收益率普遍高于欧美等地,因此可作为国际投资者提升收益和分散投资的良好选择,特别是对中小型机构将产生较大的吸引力。”工银国际控股有限公司董事长丛林判断。

大部分受访的业内专家认为,现阶段境内债券市场对境外资本具有较大的吸引力。一方面,在近期美元走弱的情况下,人民币相对于美元重新升值,降低了汇率对冲成本,增强了人民币资产的吸引力。另一方面,境内债券收益率中枢从去年四季度以来明显抬升,且今年中国债券收益率的升幅明显高于其他经济体,安全边际有所抬升。

中金公司方面判断,只要人民币兑美元不出现明显贬值,那么现阶段配置国内中短期现券品种都能较好的达成业绩目标。往后看,在人民币汇率贬值担忧进一步下降甚至转向升值的情况下,境外机构对国内债券的投资需求有望继续上升。

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