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ST遭“弃购”的背后:制度变革改变A股投资逻辑

2017-06-11 17:05:42   新华社

ST股保壳之路遇阻,与去年9月出台的《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》修订版密切相关。

北京品今资产管理有限公司首席顾问仇彦英认为,这份文件对重组上市认定标准进行了完善,同时采取取消重组上市配套融资、延长股东股份锁定期等措施。从目前来看,新规在治理重组乱象,遏制对壳资源的投机炒作方面取得了显著效果。

即使是对保壳成功的ST公司,市场的热情也远没有往年那么高涨。

因控制权之争停牌一年多之后,*ST新梅成功“摘星”并于6月6日复牌。在期间上证综指累计反弹逾6%的背景下,ST新梅复牌首日不但没能迎来预期中的补涨,反而经历了从盘中大涨27.77%到尾盘跌0.26%的“过山车”行情。次日,ST新梅无量跌停,8日小幅反弹后9日再度跌停。

ST新梅复牌后的惨淡表现,缘于其自曝“无房地产储备、无房地产开发投资”,以及未来向“轻资产、重服务”模式转型。

机制完善改变A股投资逻辑

事实上,重大资产重组趋严并不是ST股“遭弃”的唯一原因。

从去年下半年以来,新股发行明显提速。截至目前,年内共有207家公司获得IPO“准生证”,合计募集资金超千亿元。

新股供应的大量增加给A股市场带来一系列变化——一方面,新股上市后连续封板交易日数由2月的13个逐级下滑至5月的8个,最近两周189%的平均开板涨幅也与2016年的430%相去甚远。

另一方面,不少原本计划借壳上市的企业开始转战IPO,其中包括多家完成私有化后拟在A股上市的中概股。

另一个重要因素来自于退市。有统计显示,沪深两市目前有近40只*ST公司一季度继续亏损,处于退市风险“高危区”。奄奄一息的新都退无疑给这一群体提供了一个悲观的示范。

东方证券首席经济学家邵宇表示,以目前的监管环境与引导理念来看,ST股想要“翻身”比以前困难许多。而随着退市制度的进一步完善,其原有的借壳生态链将难以持续。

武汉科技大学金融证券研究所所长董登新也表示,为了让更多以ST公司为代表的“垃圾股”顺利退市,需要开IPO大门,堵“借壳”“买壳”的后门。

值得注意的是,ST股集体下挫的同时,今年以来大批资金向绩优蓝筹股集结,中小盘股群体也出现了“真成长”和“伪成长”走势显著分化的态势。这意味着,从发行、重组到退市,一系列制度的变革和完善正引领A股实现价值观和投资逻辑的深刻转变。

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