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贾晋京:卡塔尔遭遇“群断交”背后是天然气定价权之争
为了达成这一目的,2001年卡塔尔 联手伊朗、俄罗斯两国在伊朗首都德黑兰成立天然气出口国家论坛(Gas Exporting Countries Forum, GECF),总部设立于卡塔尔首都多哈,俄罗斯、伊朗、卡塔尔三家的天然气储量便占到了全世界总量的57%。在此基础上,2008年12月23日莫斯科部长级会议上各成员国通过了组织章程,GECF正式成为了拥有12个成员国、覆盖全世界70%天然气储量的天然气界OPEC。
地区紧张局势或将影响全球经济运行
卡塔尔断交风波将导致地区局势再次紧张。自去年沙伊两国断交之后中东局势便开始弥漫火药味,而此次断交风波更加重了地区紧张。
随着波斯湾地区对抗的逐渐成型,双方的冲突很有可能进一步表面化和剧烈化。作为全世界最重要的能源输出地,波斯湾地区的紧张局势将严重影响全球经济运行,甚至可能诱发新一次石油危机。
总体而言,卡塔尔面临的断交风波仅仅是地区冲突的一个缩影。中东地区紧张局势与冲突将会以新的形势展开。这不会是结束的开始,但至少是开始的结束。(中新经纬APP)
【专家简介】贾晋京,中国人民大学重阳金融研究院宏观研究部主任、首席研究员,研究领域包括国际金融、宏观经济、全球治理、创新与产业政策等。
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