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一季度内地开发商对港投资创新高 同比骤增213%

2017-05-26 13:36:31   经济参考报

高力国际中国区资本市场及投资服务主管汪蓓表示,“大宗物业的成交历来是房地产投资市场的晴雨表。在宏观方面,美联储是否加息、外汇管制是否有所松动等因素都可能作用于整个大宗物业市场;在微观方面,投资需求持续保持高位,市场上目前可供交易的优质资产有限。我们预期,中短期内上海房地产投资市场的价格会有一定的增长,投资回报将会保持稳定。”

高力国际在报告中指出,中国经济发展趋势良好,强劲的内需推动了进口量增长,而生产价格的回升也推高了工业利润。以上因素均将推动中国商业房地产投资量攀升,资本价值仍有进一步提升空间。根据高力国际的数据,目前中国大城市中心地段的房地产收益率仍然处于合理范围,大陆一线城市写字楼物业的收益率为3.5%-4.5%,零售和工业物业的净收益率在4.0%-6.0%。

从全国主要城市投资机会来看:在上海,高力国际认为,由于业主需求强劲、租值稳定,使上海周边地区的标准物流物业对开发商和机构投资者极具吸引力。在零售行业,位于上海黄金地段的物业资产表现强劲,继续吸引海外投资者的兴趣。

在北京,高力国际预测在升级和改造核心地区现有旧写字楼、零售及酒店建筑方面存在增值机会,因为自2015年起北京已经禁止在这些区域进行新的大规模商业地产项目开发。

在深圳,整售交易市场较为平静,黄金地段独有产权的可售写字楼物业有限,大多数房东对房价的期望值高于买家愿意承担的水平。分层所有权交易和转租/转售策略是主要的投资模式。在核心区域,投资者更愿意入手位于黄金地段、商业配套成熟且有稳定现金流的写字楼物业。展望未来,高力国际预计深圳将出现新一轮供应,因为一些拥有大规模综合项目的房东将借助整售模式处置一部分物业。

在成都,中欧铁路货运催生的工业地产为成都国际铁路港提供大量投资机会。“目前,中欧铁路货运的耗时仅为海运的一半,且成本仅为空运的一半。2017年4月,成都国际铁路港成为中国(四川)自由贸易试验区的重要组成部分。”报告称。

□记者 郑钧天 上海报道 来源:经济参考报

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