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喜迎开门红 股市进入秋收季节

2017-09-03 14:40:49   中国青年网

榕基软件多位高管拟合计减持不超1.73%股份。榕基软件公告称,公司持股5%以上股东、副董事长、常务副总裁侯伟及副总裁李惠钦、万孝雄计划6个月内以大宗交易或者集中竞价交易方式减持公司股份合计不超过1074.99万股,占公司总股本比例的1.73%。

数据显示,9月份A股解禁股数量创今年以来新高,9月解禁达290.64亿股,按照目前股价统计,9月份两市解禁总市值超3000亿元。创业板解禁数量为29.8亿股,解禁市值为今年以来新高。

预测

“金九”行情可预期

“金九”行情能否迎来?从历史数据来看,近十年来,A股在9月的表现“涨多跌少”。另外,根据机构的判断,“金九”行情也是大概率事件。

金百临咨询分析师秦洪认为,随着近期市场人气的回升,成交量的活跃,新增资金的尝试性建仓,沪深两市的融资余额持续增加,如此因素的叠加,就使得市场承接力度增强,所以,A股的盘面热点出现了积极而有意思的变化——新兴产业股与传统产业股可以同台竞技。周五A股的走势向市场参与者传递出一个积极信号:A股已呈强势格局。另外宏观经济领域也出现积极信号,不仅仅是传统产业强劲复苏,而且新兴产业领域也出现了清晰的产业新热点。A股市场一直是产业经济演绎的晴雨表。就目前产业格局来说,传统产业股,由于供给端的持续萎缩,不仅仅是供给侧改革的效果显现,而且还在于环保力度的加大,供给端的萎缩超预期,所以,煤炭、钢铁、化工等产品价格持续上涨,传统产业股的盈利迅速改善,它们的股价重心自然上移。

中航证券也表示,从周五盘面上看,中小、创业板及次新股在“大金融”银行、保险、证券行业休整时接力活跃市场,表明资金稳定市场继续上行意愿强烈。另外市场将于9月释放对“十九大”的预期情绪,再加之“十月黄金周”假期,指数及行业热点均将异常活跃。结构性机会也将丰富,投资者选择余地及波段操作机会也将增多。目前上证指数将随时上冲3400点附近通道压力。大金融、大消费、大周期、一带一路和区域经济以及创新驱动潜力成长股均应重点关注。

操作

哪些板块可关注

9月可以关注哪些板块?机构也给出了自己的分析。

国金证券分析称,步入9月,市场对政策能见度愈发清晰,市场诸多不确定性因素阶段性的消退。市场步入可为的蜜月期,“金融消费”搭台,“成长与主题”唱戏。若拉长一个季度来看,我们认为当前是逐步靠近“秋收”的季节。建议关注, 金融、消费、成长板块中,计算机、传媒以及主题性题材中的雄安板块。

长城证券称,今年以来市场经历了消费白马——金融——周期——成长板块的轮涨之后,预计未来可能很难在一个方向上获得持续的超额收益。建议关注相关确定性主题的投资机会,就本月而言,一方面选取雄安新区、国企改革、苹果产业链等主题投资相关标的;另一方面结合行业景气度和行业估值,选取景气度向好的新能源汽车、航空运输、血制品行业,受益供给侧改革及环保限产的水泥、环保行业,以及具有估值优势的传媒、医药、休闲旅游行业,并在这些行业中精选优质价值个股。

国都证券称,国企混改有序突破、雄安新区规划即将出炉下,国企改革与雄安新区两大主题可继续参与深挖。此外,中期重点布局白马成长股,包括传媒、5G、人工智能、电动汽车、现代服务业、环保等板块内的成长龙头或超跌优质个股。本报记者 于建 J180

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