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中国经济向好势头持续发展(在国新办新闻发布会上)

2017-08-15 05:11:10   中国青年网

“房地产市场的降温或者是适度降温,并不必然会下拉经济增长速度”

尽管主要经济指标好于去年同期,但是却比上月有所回落。例如,7月规上工业增加值同比增长6.4%,比6月回落1.2个百分点;7月社会消费品零售总额同比增长10.4%,也比6月回落0.6个百分点;而前7月固定资产投资增速也比上半年回落了0.3个百分点。这是什么原因造成的?

毛盛勇分析,7月份规上工业增速比6月份有所放缓,主要原因有三个:

一是今年7月份全国大面积的高温天气。今年7月份全国平均气温是1961年以来同期最高,而且高温天数也是1961年以来的最多。高温酷暑之下,停产检修的企业比上年明显增加。

二是今年南方部分地区洪涝灾害比较严重,也一定程度上对工业生产造成了一些影响。

三是一些地区加大了淘汰环保不达标的过剩产能的力度。

“当前中国工业稳中向好的运行态势不会改变。市场供求关系在不断趋于平衡,市场供求关系在改善。世界经济也呈现出一定的复苏态势,产品的价格总体比较稳定,企业盈利能力比较强。所以,下半年工业稳定增长、稳中向好是有条件的,不会改变。”毛盛勇说。

毛盛勇认为,与上半年相比,1—7月份投资增速有所放缓的主要原因还是天气气候。“我们很多的投资项目都是在户外进行,项目施工进度受到一定程度影响,但是投资总体平稳的趋势不会改变。”

1—7月房地产开发投资同比增长7.9%,增速比上半年回落了0.6个百分点。这是否会影响到中国经济的平稳运行?毛盛勇分析,今年上半年,房地产对经济增长的贡献率是6.2%,上年同期是8.2%,房地产对经济增长的贡献率下降了2个百分点,而今年上半年的经济增速比去年同期提高了0.2个百分点,这说明房地产市场的降温或者是适度降温,并不必然会下拉经济增长速度。特别是随着房地产市场平稳健康的长效机制在经过各地试点研究进一步推出以后,整个房地产市场会有更好、更良性的发展未来。

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