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正因为传统封闭式基金有诸多缺点,2002年后已没有公募基金公司主动发起新设此类基金,市场上数十只存量传统封基产品也只能等待到期谋变。济安金信基金评价中心主任王群航表示,传统封基到期后,一般有3种命运:到期清盘、转换成LOF基金(上市型开放式基金)或普通开放式基金,大多数传统封基转型为开放式基金(简称封转开)都伴随着套利机会。
投资者布局老封基且持有到“封转开”后有两大套利点:一是由于传统封基到期“封转开”存在一段封闭期,在“封转开”之前,折价率难以完全收敛到零。从已到期产品看,到期“封转开”前的折价率在2%左右,若持有到“封转开”之后就可以获得2%的折价空间。二是临近“封转开”时,传统封基往往会降低仓位,提高现金储备,此时传统封基的净值波动受影响较小,套利空间比较明确。
Wind资讯显示,在历史上“封转开”套利策略中,金融机构投资者占比约为6成。上海证券基金评价研究中心总经理刘亦千表示,传统封闭式基金并没有完全离开,目前市场上已经发行的很多创新型封闭式基金,封闭期一两年年或定期开放债基,为资金提供进入、退出途径,其实也是对传统封闭式基金的一种改进。
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