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交银中国财富景气指数创两年新高

2017-08-07 17:10:55   央广网

三、不动产投资意愿止跌回升

本期投资意愿指数为128点,处于历史较高水平。随着近期股票和基金市场回暖,企业效益呈现好转势头,小康家庭对流动资产投资意愿有所提升,幅度为6个百分点。其中预期和现在流动资产投资意愿指数均有所上升,涨幅分别为6个百分点和5个百分点。从各类投资品的投资意愿来看,欧美6月制造业加速扩张,经济活跃度攀升,本期小康家庭对境外资产的投资意愿升幅较大,达17个百分点;得益于一行三会频频释放“温和去杠杆”政策信号,小康家庭对股票、基金投资意愿也有较为明显的上升;今年上半年期货成交规模萎缩,小康家庭对期货投资意愿有所减弱。从持有率看,银行理财、宝类理财和股票持有率最高,均在66%以上。从投资金额看,股票、银行理财和基金是小康家庭投资金额最多的三类品种。

不动产投资意愿指数结束了长达8个月的下行趋势,本期止跌回升,幅度达5个百分点。今年6月商品房销售情况超出市场预期,单月销售额增速创年内新高,待售面积环比减少1441万平方米。与以往不同的是,小康家庭对不动产投资的增长主要依靠非核心城市的带动。本期分城市调研数据显示,本期非核心城市现在和未来不动产投资意愿均有大幅上升,是推动本期不动产投资意愿止跌回升的主要原因。受访小康家庭近期不动产投资聚焦在非核心城市,说明政府助力三、四线城市“去库存”战略部署效果明显。本期持有多套房的小康家庭对现在不动产投资意愿增幅较大,这可能是由于近期三、四线城市成交量高速成长,房价逐步看涨,使得多套房家庭对三、四线城市不动产投资市场比较看好。未来不动产投资方面,持有0-1套房产家庭投资意愿上升较为显著,可见未来刚需购房需求依然较大。

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