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法国启动劳工法案改革 各方利益博弈持续拉锯

2017-08-04 14:41:35   中国经济网

有法经济学者认为,未来,随着法国国民议会对相关行政命令进行批准,将进一步引发包括右派在内的反对势力的争夺,使各利益攸关方的博弈持续拉锯,马克龙将面临更加严峻的挑战。首先,劳动法案的改革可以说是马克龙改革的“鲜明标签”,而相关改革的成败与否将直接影响到未来对包括养老金在内的多项改革的成败。其次,随着英国脱欧程序的启动,改革法案中的大部分松绑政策将关乎到未来的法国金融企业的竞争力能够有效增强,也将考验法国能否抓住这次提升金融地位的难得的“窗口期”。再次,当前法国民众对劳动法案的改革仍然存在质疑心理,据最新民调显示,有近50%的民众“只希望对劳动法案的某些部分进行改革”,担心彻底的变革将对其生活现状造成冲击。最后,在此前政府公布的减赤计划中,包括削减军费、削减个人住房补贴、减裁政府职员等措施已招致部分利益团体及民众的抵触,其个人民调甚至一度下跌近10个百分点。未来,随着劳动法案的政令推行及各方势力的强烈反弹,将进一步放大民众的质疑与担忧情绪,进而引发大规模抗议游行,对马克龙的民意基础造成强烈冲击。法经济学者特别提醒道:“不要忘记,前总统奥朗德与萨科齐都是在劳动法案改革面前倒下的,政府现在亟须要做的是尽快平抑各方的强烈反弹,有效回应各方诉求,确保民众充分了解政府的改革意图,推进这项触碰利益集团‘奶酪’的结构性改革稳步实施,避免相关博弈的持续外溢至法国劳动力市场,冲击已初步复苏的利好经济局面。”

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