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外媒:法国不会帮助英国“软退欧”

2017-06-16 08:15:50   新华网

欧盟接纳前苏联集团国家——该政策受到英国的强烈支持——削弱了法国传统上对欧盟的影响力。但波兰和匈牙利也由于在国内日益推行不开明和反民主的政策而自我边缘化。

马克龙带头呼吁欧盟对波兰人采取强硬立场,甚至包括施加制裁。随着英国退欧以及东欧大国边缘化,欧盟给人的感觉可能开始更像最初的“欧洲六国”——这是法国政治家在上世纪50年代发明的词语,如今法国的一些亲欧者仍在怀念那个时代。

法国的机遇既有政治上的,也有经济上的。如果英国退出欧盟单一市场,法国就有了获得大量金融和制造业就业岗位的宝贵机会。因此,英国“硬退欧”可能更有利于法国,因为它将会让伦敦金融城失去从事欧元相关业务的“护照”,而且还会破坏英国制造商的供应链。

欧洲空客公司已发出警告称,如果英国退出欧盟内部市场,该公司就可能将一些就业岗位外迁,而法国很可能是受益者。所有这些意味着,马克龙无论从经济上还是政治上都没有多少动力在移民或资金问题上作出让步,从而让英国更容易选择“软退欧”。

马克龙在精明地追逐法国国家利益之际,还会开心地占据道德高地,指出英国是自作自受,而他纯粹只是想要捍卫欧洲一体化事业。

马克龙无疑是位国际主义者。但他也是法国总统,因此继承了历史上英法竞争的观念,正如英国人罗伯特·图姆斯和法国人伊莎贝尔·图姆斯对学者夫妻在2006年的著作《甜蜜的敌人》中记录的那样。正如图姆斯夫妇所言,法国和英国的历史都受到双方“爱恨交加的关系”的深远影响。

英国人在过去25年里一直沾沾自喜,因为自己相对陷入困境的法国而言境况更好。如今,随着马克龙有望赢得议会多数席位、梅地位动摇、英国退欧谈判开启在即,以及温布尔登网球赛即将开打,占据优势地位的却是法国。

(原标题:外媒:法国不会帮助英国“软退欧”)

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