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“AT”竞争分水岭:解析2016年业绩核心指标 阿里全面超越腾讯

2017-05-18 21:02:11   国际在线

毫无疑问腾讯将在未来很长时间内稳坐全球游戏业霸主的宝座,但问题也同样明显:如果要与google、亚马逊、facebook这互联网“国际三座大山”对标甚至竞争,单凭游戏是否足够?游戏显然是最为赚钱的行业,但纵观互联网历史,从来没有一家游戏公司能够与google这样提供互联网基础技术或者亚马逊这样提供互联网商业基础服务的公司竞争。

腾讯在游戏领域的轻松收割,以及伴随收割习惯而形成的公司战略,其基础是中国特色(经济、政治和社会分层结构等多方面因素构成)的年轻人群亚文化,以及随之而来的游戏文化和游戏市场的爆发。但这个基础是一个特例,而并非普适。腾讯在海外的攻城略地,目的在于从生态链上控制整个游戏行业,但最终变现最大的落脚点还得回到中国市场。

而商业基础设施的提供则是普适的,也意味着远比游戏领域长袖善舞来得艰难。反观阿里,电商本身也并非可以短时间内收割的行业,这好比修建商场,大楼无法凭空而起,道路、水电煤必须先行。这注定阿里只能以商业基础服务为先导出海,既为电商搭桥修路,其本身将成为更大的生意。

资本市场看好阿里生态系统

2017年以来阿里巴巴股价上涨40%,领涨美国中概股,过去12个月更是上涨了56%。美国专业财经媒体The Street将阿里股价表现评价为“如同脱缰的野兽”。在采访了一系列的阿里巴巴投资者之后,文章总结称:“这家公司非常好,管理层非常进取,一直没有松懈。”

美国商业期刊《福布斯》杂志上个月则评选出2016年最有投资价值的10大公司,阿里巴巴位居榜首。

“与美国那些互联网大公司相比,我们相信没有什么比阿里巴巴的生态系统更强大了。”国际投行MKM Partners的分析师在最新报告中指出,阿里强劲的GMV 增势以及持续增长的货币转化率都将支撑业绩提速,因此上调目标股价至每股155美元。

投行摩根大通则将阿里目标价调高至每股140美元。该行看好其核心电商业务的实力以及阿里云等新兴业务的积极势头,并预计未来三年在数字媒体及娱乐业务上500亿的投资将推动收入增长。

巴克莱在其投行研报中提出,阿里在国内市场的“新零售”战略,速卖通、菜鸟以及蚂蚁金服在海外市场的扩张都将进一步扩大市场范围。

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