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最严调控让北京楼市回归理性 投资客或观望或离场

2017-05-01 06:31:05   北京日报

这个“药引子”带出楼市调控的又一良方。10天后,本市多部门联合发布《关于进一步加强产业项目管理的通知》,科研等产业项目严禁擅自改变规划用途、作为居住空间使用,否则可能被收回土地。

“38天的时间里,针对房地产市场密集出台十多项措施,这样的力度,地产圈的人都蒙了。”本市一家地产公司负责人坦言,相比以往,这回调控出台的若干配套政策,针对性更强,有的放矢,更能刺痛炒房人。

调控新政后这一个多月,“炒”字当头的二手房市场正向“居住属性”回归。来自市住建委的数据显示,2017年4月上半月,北京市二手房共网签8000余套,环比2017年3月下半月下降5成多,同比2016年4月上半月下降近4成。

去年,本市商业办公项目的成交量曾出现大幅跳涨,其中包含大批违规“商住房”;但在今年3月26日,本市重拳整治“商改住”乱象,商办类物业成交量几乎骤降至零。

随着市场的明显降温,投资客或观望、或离场,卖方的预期也有明显回调。链家研究院院长杨现领分析,目前报价涨幅有明显收窄甚至下跌,4月第二周新增房源挂牌价环比小幅下跌0.02%,“预计随着带看量的下滑和市场的进一步降温,业主强势态度有所改变,后期的报价将会向成交价靠拢。”

稳定民心的手也同时伸出。“各家网站要在12日24时前,撤下全部存在违规信息的房源,比如‘商住两用’。”4月11日,市住建委等部门约谈15家房地产信息网站负责人,执法检查广度已由线下中介门店扩充到线上网站。

  示范效应 引领全国楼市调控

“企业购买的住房需满3年以上才能交易”,“3·17新政”中一条不太显眼的条款,却开了这一轮调控“限售”的先河。

北京“3·17新政”引发全国房地产市场新一轮调控,“限售”则是此轮调控的新招,接连已有十余个城市开启“限售模式”。中原地产首席分析师张大伟说,全国多地调控措施迈入“限购+限贷+限价+限售”时代。

“‘限售’,正成为当前各地楼市调控的新思路,也成为3月开始的全国多城市调控新特点,预计未来还会有更多城市执行这一新措施。”张大伟分析,目前已有超过18个城市历史上首次启动了买房后一定年限限制出让的楼市调控政策。在“限购”之后,“限售”将进一步抑制短期炒作,防止市场投机行为泛滥。

在房价攀升过程中,部分还没有达到购房实力的消费者“恐慌式”跟风购房,反而进一步强化了房价上涨的预期。北京这轮调控采取“疏堵结合”、“长短结合”的方式,发布未来住宅用地供应计划来稳定预期的招数在全国并不多见一周前,北京历史上头一次发布了未来5年的住宅用地供应计划,今年住宅用地供应也比原计划将近翻了一倍,将保障30万套住房建设需求。

“实实在在地告诉老百姓,北京会大幅度增加住宅供应,就是要从供求关系的关键点发力,扭转房价只涨不跌的心理预期。”相关部门负责人解释,年度供应计划有利于稳定近期市场预期,而5年计划则对稳定中长期的市场预期有益。

“毋庸置疑,北京的这一轮调控在全国具有标杆意义。”陈志分析,这一轮调控,已不是简单限购,而是多举措、多维度、多部门联合发力,坚持“房子是用来住的,不是用来炒的”定位。从最近一个多月的实际效果看,调控新政正在促进北京房地产市场更加理性、健康发展。

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