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研究预测今年全球会有更多极端天气

2019-02-10 11:37:00    新华网

新华社惠灵顿2月10日电(记者卢怀谦 李惠子)一个国际研究团队最新报告说,随着南极和北极的冰盖继续融化,2019年全球各地的极端天气事件可能会更多、更严重。

这一研究团队日前在英国《自然》杂志上报告说,他们综合利用气候模型及卫星数据来模拟分析冰盖融化后的水进入地球海洋水系后可能出现的情形,并呼吁各国政府评估极端天气增多可能带来的严重后果。

模拟结果显示,随着全球变暖,来自格陵兰和南极冰盖的大量融水将进入海洋。“根据我们的模型,大量融水的汇入会对洋流造成严重破坏,进而导致更多的极端天气事件,每年的温度变化也会变动更大。”领导这项研究的惠灵顿维多利亚大学南极研究中心副教授尼克·格列齐说。

以北大西洋为例,融水的汇入将导致大西洋深层水循环显著减弱,从而影响沿海洋流,这将造成中美洲、加拿大东部和北极高地的气温升高,与此同时西北欧的气候变暖会有所减弱。

参与研究的新西兰地质与核科学研究所专家利兹·凯勒说,近年来,冰盖融化正在引发全球海平面上升,这次的新研究提示,未来如果能大幅减排,或许人类还可以将危害控制在一定范围内。

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