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你也许不知道什么才是大

2017-09-13 08:26:27   新华网

做空机制在西方成熟的金融市场存在已久,最初只是对冲风险的工具,不是资本主义国家专门发明出来阴我们的。就拿马克·哈特来说,2008年他还利用次贷危机赚钱呢,分明是在做空自己的祖国呀!

1997年,索罗斯从银行借了泰铢,换成美元捏在手上,然后继续大量借来泰铢抛售,买入美元,导致民众跟风兑换美元,泰国外汇储备不足,不得不让泰铢贬值,索罗斯再用美元把贬值的泰铢低价买回,还给银行,赚了5亿美元。这样无视他国民众利益、扰乱他国金融秩序、危害国际金融安全的大空头着实可怕,必须死死防住。

但不是所有空头都配叫大鳄,如果看谁都是大鳄,那你得多渺小?

你真的不知道自己有多大吗?根据央行公布的数据,截至2017年8月末,中国外汇储备规模为30915亿美元。因为查不到马克·哈特货币期权的具体合同,我们假设他加了100倍杠杆,想用2.4亿美元撬动240亿美元——在人民币面前,他依然是摇撼大树的一只蚂蚁。

与此同时,和他同在得克萨斯州、管理210亿美元资产的另一位基金经理就很看好人民币。我们已经置身于国际金融市场,谁看多谁看空,正常得不得了,实在没有必要乱贴“敌对”的标签,更没有必要用一只蚂蚁的失败来成就大树的狂欢。就算你要把谁当敌人,也得了解战场,具备战斗力。人家哈特的3个孩子都会说普通话了,盲目狂欢者不一定知道什么叫货币期权。

更何况,如果你觉得人家都是因为瞧不起你才做空你的货币,那只能说明你自己还没瞧得起自己。中国已是金融大国,但还不是金融强国。这种强大,不能只看100元人民币能兑换多少美元。这种强大,是金融市场能够继续发展完善,能够抵抗各种金融风险——马克·哈特不成对手。这种强大,更需要实体经济作为坚实的基础。

网上还出现了这样的声音:美国巴不得人民币升值,马克·哈特这个美国佬才是真正“为中国老百姓考虑”的人啊!

你理想中的国际主义战士并不存在。他压根儿没来过中国,更不会考虑你的感受。不过,顺着这个逻辑,你也可以思考一下,虽然国际贸易格局在动态变化,但中国是出口大国,也是债权大国,人民币对美元升值有哪些负面影响以及该如何应对。

可能的负面影响,让我想到了报道马克·哈特时,那些媒体向公众列举的人民币升值的好处,只有两点:海淘更便宜了、留学学费低了。

我几乎不敢相信自己的眼睛——你这真的不是在“抹黑祖国”吗?如果中国的商品够强,海淘存在的意义何在?如果中国的大学够强,留学学费再低,有什么吸引力呢?一边宣传人民币购买力强,一边鼓吹购买他国的商品和服务,这颗“爱国心”,好分裂,好难懂。

且不说,中国金融体量已如此庞大,而你这格局,真的还太小。(秦珍子)

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