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莫迪首次对缅甸进行双边访问 打“感情牌”难掩双边关系尴尬

2017-09-07 14:46:51   中国青年网

“这是一个颇为实用主义的表态,”上海国际问题研究院研究员赵干城评价道,“作为地区大国,莫迪需要对这一受到广泛关注的议题予以回应,但很显然他并不想在这个事情上得罪缅甸政府”。

精心准备的“特殊礼物”打感情牌

尽管这是莫迪第一次对缅甸进行双边访问,但对缅甸当今的领导层却并不陌生。2014年,莫迪就曾借出席东盟峰会之机到访缅甸。而现任缅甸总统吴廷觉和国务资政昂山素季也都曾在各自访问印度期间与莫迪见过面。

据印度《第一邮报》报道,莫迪此次访问还为昂山素季准备了一份特别的礼物——1986年昂山素季在申请印度高等研究院(IAAS)研究员职位时所撰写的研究提纲的副本。

昂山素季曾经在1986年到1988年在位于印度西姆拉的IAAS担任研究员。《印度时报》2015年报道称,在一次演讲中,昂山素季曾表示,在IAAS度过的时光是自己生命中最美好的一部分。

这并不是印度第一次对昂山素季打“感情牌”和“经历牌”。早在2016年10月昂山素季访问印度时,时任印度外交部发言人斯瓦如普就将她称为“来自东方的老朋友”,而印度总理莫迪则表示,欢迎昂山素季回到“第二故乡”。

“尽管昂山素季在印度有过一定的经历,但她更主要的背景还是来自西方,昂山素季个人对印度只有有限的好感,印度对她的影响也比较小。”赵干城对澎湃新闻表示,尽管印度希望通过强调昂山素季和印度之间的渊源来拉近印缅之间的关系,但作为国家领导人的昂山素季依然会倾向于从国家利益的角度来做出考量。

莫迪政府推动“东向行动”

缅甸东北部有漫长的边境与中国相邻,而西部边境则与印度东北部的曼尼普尔、纳加兰等邦相邻,如何在缅中与缅印关系之间做出权衡成为昂山素季领导的全国民主联盟上台后在外交方面面临的主要议题之一。

2016年8月,昂山素季到访中国,这是她就任国务资政兼外长之后首次访问东盟以外的国家。《日经亚洲评论》当时评价道,这说明在昂山素季眼中,中国比印度更加重要。

“昂山素季的这一偏好有其合理性,截至2016年8月,中国作为缅甸最大的外国投资来源,在缅甸外资比重中占到28.13%,而印度只占到1.14%。”《日经亚洲评论》报道称。

“缅甸糟糕的经济状况使得其发展需要更多的投资,但印度本身在资金方面比较有限,在投资和贸易领域,中缅关系的深度和广度都是远远超越印缅之间的。”赵干城表示。

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