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不撤军反增兵 特朗普对阿政策有何考虑?

2017-08-23 06:55:50   新华网

中国国际问题研究院战略所阿富汗和南亚问题专家李青燕说,特朗普此次宣布对阿新战略,可谓千呼万唤始出来,犹抱琵琶半遮面。其出台的时间过久,又尚未公布具体行动步骤。特朗普需要说服自己和其他美国人“为什么还要在阿富汗待下去”,因此在讲话中用了较大篇幅去说明继续维持在阿驻军的必要性。

李青燕指出,美国继续在阿驻军,客观上有利于遏制“伊斯兰国”等极端组织在这一地区的发展壮大,同时,各国博弈也使地区反恐问题趋于复杂化、长期化。

李青燕认为,要打赢阿富汗战争,美国除了军事手段,还将辅以外交和经济手段,对巴基斯坦主要是打压,以援助为要挟,同时拉拢印度为美国站台,协助平衡其他地区力量。特朗普因此在讲话中敲打巴基斯坦“专心”反恐。美国军方高官近来频频访问巴基斯坦,也是为这一政策的出炉做评估。

美国国内就巴基斯坦在反恐中的作用和表现有截然相反的两种观点,导致美国对巴政策摆脱不了胡萝卜加大棒的老办法。“如今反恐形势严峻,美国开出的条件更为严苛,但美国很清楚,在阿富汗问题上,美国离不开巴基斯坦的帮助。”(沈敏 闫洁)(新华社专特稿)

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