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对地区经济长期影响不大
从历史经验看,恐怖袭击对一国经济的影响通常只是短期的,对地区宏观经济的影响更是有限。
今年上半年伦敦和曼彻斯特发生恐袭后,当地旅游、餐饮、购物和交通运输等行业在短期内受到了一定影响,但此后很快得到恢复。同时,英国投资者的信心也在增强。数据显示,投资者6月份向英国基金业投资21亿英镑(约合27亿美元),与去年赎回30亿英镑(约合38.6亿美元)形成鲜明对比。
西班牙马德里康普顿斯大学的研究报告显示,2004年马德里发生造成千余人死伤的严重恐怖袭击,事件带来的损失仅占当年西班牙GDP的0.03%。
2015年11月巴黎发生连环恐袭,虽然拖累了法国当季的经济增长,但当年法国经济增速依然创下近四年新高。
分析人士认为,总体而言,恐袭对一国经济的影响并不大,决定经济的因素是多方面的。比如,“脱欧”是影响近期英国经济的主要因素,而法国经济则受到罢工、极端天气等因素影响。
欧盟委员会发言人安妮卡·布赖特哈特告诉新华社记者,近期欧盟经济形势令人振奋,经济连续第五年增长,失业率处于2008年以来最低水平,投资持续增长。欧盟委员会今年秋季发布经济预测报告时将综合考虑各种因素。(记者:梁淋淋、韩冰、温希强、俞懋峰)
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