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美朝互怼殃及市场 黄金比特币等成资本避风港
2017-08-14 09:21:57 中国经济网
美国东部时间上周三,全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人雷·达里奥就撰文表达了对地缘政治不确定性的担忧。“潜在风险不断上升,市场却未恰当地将这些因素纳入考量。”达里奥写道,人们最好选择中立立场来应对未知变数。达里奥建议,如果情况转坏,黄金可能比其他避险资产,例如美元、日元和国债拥有更大的潜在收益。所以建议资产配置中5%~10%选择黄金作为对冲。
此外,“大宗商品之王”丹尼斯·加特曼和“新债王”杰弗里·冈拉克也表达了对黄金前景的肯定。“黄金即将强势爆发上扬。”加特曼近日在接受全美广播公司财经频道CNBC采访时表示,通胀压力,尤其是薪资增加压力,以及货币当局不断扩大供应储备这一事实将对黄金产生积极影响。冈拉克则早在7月底就表示,“相较于比特币或美股科技股等资产,当前黄金价格还是太低了。”冈拉克表示,黄金正构筑最看涨形态之一的杯柄形态,若价格能突破1294美元/盎司一线,金价将进一步上涨至1460美元/盎司。
数字货币也成避风港
在全球股市惶惶不安之时,数字货币却意外地火了一把。
截至8月13日晚发稿,记者注意到,世界上第一、第二大加密货币比特币和以太坊均出现暴涨,分别报3997.8美元和309.82美元,比特币自“硬分叉”后在上周累计涨幅超20%。
在市场人士看来,这在一定程度上是由于黄金和美国国债等传统避险资产已经不再像过去那样夺目。
“我们看到投资者将他们的资金转移到加密货币中,他们试图在市场严重低迷的情况下分散风险,”交易平台InvestFeed公司CEO切尔尼斯基表示,该公司正从股票交易转向加密货币。“比特币的应用已从小范围转向更广泛领域,其中主要的吸引力在于,加密货币与其他资产的关联性较低。”
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