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面对1000亿天价脱欧分手费 英国悬浮议会恐崩盘

2017-06-14 04:01:37   

“梅必须下台,虽然时间并不确定,但是在保守党内肯定会有对于其领导地位的挑战,这意味着约翰逊有可能成为下一任首相。”科内利森表示,不过这些都不意味着英国脱欧谈判会容易一些:悬浮议会恐怕很难让联合执政政府在1000亿欧元分手费方面获得授权。最终联合执政崩盘的可能性很大,也许在今年10月还会举行新的选举。

与此同时,软脱欧的看法开始回潮,工党敦促政府要考虑不要离开单一市场,苏格兰方面则敦促梅政府可以达成“开放脱欧”(open Brexit)的立场。

英国财长哈蒙德也指出,要将英国的经济利益放在首位,这意味着对单一市场、关税同盟等诉求的回归。 为此,“挪威模式”又重新回到人们视野,即英国可以留在欧洲自由贸易联盟(EFTA)之中,像挪威、瑞士等国家一样,不过留在EFTA之中意味着英国要坚持一部分欧盟人员自由流动原则。

按照英国财政部给出的三种退欧测算,即挪威模式、世界贸易组织(WTO)模式和加拿大模式三种,比如第一种挪威模式,将比现在英国的方式更昂贵。

不过,英国经济研究院高级顾问普莱斯(Vicky Pryce)在接受第一财经记者采访时指出,挪威模式下,该国不是欧盟的一部分,基本上对于欧盟没有影响力,但是却必须接受所有来自于欧洲的制度。

挪威通过付费的方式拥有了通往单一市场的途径,然而他们付出的人均费用比他们成为会员的还要高,而且这笔钱还是享受不到的——为了获得自由的市场准入,这笔钱会直接打到欧盟账上,而不像英国那样得到抵扣和其他运用。普莱斯还表示,挪威必须接受欧盟的“人口自由流动”规则,其移民水平按照人口比例计算,比英国要高得多。

因此,普莱斯称,英国可以使用挪威模式,但英国照样要付钱,照样得接受移民,但是对欧盟还不能有任何影响力,为什么非要这样呢?

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