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美欲对华动“私刑”! 中美贸易战会“一触即发”?

2017-08-16 08:13:22   中国青年网

不过,特朗普打错了算盘。美国政界、商界不少有识之士指出,如果政府不顾世贸规则,采取单边行动来解决与贸易伙伴的争端,不仅无助于解决问题,还可能伤及本国消费者和进出口企业等的利益。

美国中国问题专家罗伯特?劳伦斯?库恩说,此举无益于解决美国经济问题。短期来看,少部分美国人可能受益。但长期来看,美国经济将受损,因为这可能会阻碍美国经济朝更可持续的方向发展,“这将是一种倒退”。

此外,由于特朗普上台以来显露出将朝鲜问题与中美贸易捆绑的策略设计,有观点认为,美方希望在经贸问题上向中方施压,以此作为促使中方向朝鲜施压的手段。对此,外交部发言人华春莹14日表示,中美两国之间的合作应该建立在尊重彼此重大利益和关切的基础上。她说:“朝鲜半岛问题和经贸问题是不同范畴的问题,中美在这两个问题上应该相互尊重,加强合作,把一个问题作为在另外一个问题上施压的工具,显然是不合适的。”

中美贸易战“一触即发”?

特朗普授权贸易代表启动“301调查”,外界普遍认为这是美国打响对华“贸易战”的信号。然而综合各方观点,“贸易战”之说还言之过早。

陈凤英说,不排除最终兑现“301条款”的可能性,但也并非最终选项。特朗普的态度本身就留有余地,因为备忘录的强制性远低于行政令。

清华大学中美关系研究中心高级研究员周世俭也认为,启动“301调查”远未达到“贸易战”的程度。特朗普签署行政备忘录并不等于美国立即对中国采取贸易惩罚措施,接下来还有三步要走。

第一步,启动调查。接受美国内企业的投诉,政府将负责调查取证。第二步,与中方进行谈判磋商。其中包括以贸易补偿或消除贸易壁垒的形式进行协商。第三步,以协商结果决定最后的措施。如果协商破裂,美国预计会根据“301条款”对华出重拳,诸如限制中国产品进口、征收额外关税。那时才意味着“贸易战”的启幕。但是如果谈判成功,就不会出现这一幕。

中美经贸关系彼此高度依存,一旦贸易战开启,必将导致“伤敌一千自损八百”的两败俱伤局面,两国关系也必然转冷。正如华春莹所说,在中美利益相互交融日深,已经形成你中有我、我中有你的紧密格局下,打贸易战没有前途,没有赢家,只会双输。只有通过对话解决彼此关切,才能维护中美经贸关系持续健康稳定发展。

(创意产品工作室 栗一星 郝斐然 王若蕾 文字综合新华网、新京报、解放日报)

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