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长江证券投资顾问张立强认为,创业板创出了本轮新低,加上不少中报预增的公司突然改为预亏,使得市场是警惕情绪升温,导致了盘中整体的抛售行为。
一位投行人士则认为,昨天大盘跳水不是偶然,其中有很多必然因素,比如不得不说的“三大元凶”。“一是,诸如乐视网等创业板权重股利空频发,引发资金出逃;二是,大量新股、复牌个股等经常闪崩下挫,使得市场恐慌情绪严重;三是,被称作大盘定海神针的上证50已经创了近两年新高,因此部分投资者对于上证50能否继续上涨产生了怀疑。”
短线指数维持震荡趋势
适当关注“真货”小盘股
对于后市而言,上述投行人士认为,短线股指震荡格局或将延续。杨海认为,昨天大盘暴跌没有跳空缺口,这就不是“断头铡”,所以在技术上是恐慌回撤,投资者不必担心。“金融工作会议总体上没有偏利好政策,但也没有任何大的利空,基本是中性政策。下半年流动性基本是平衡,不会大放水,但也不会很紧张。
后市操作方面,杨海建议有些股票下跌后可以补仓,比如:半年报业绩好、估值较低的大蓝筹、有色、煤炭等;还有就是有真实成长性的小盘股,比如:人工智能、转型金融、金控、新能源;但还有些股票就要慎重对待,尤其是创业板和次新股反弹之后能出就出,能不做尽量不要做,因为高估值、业绩地雷、闪崩已经让很多机构和个人对这类股票放弃了任何想法。
华安证券投资总监屈放的观点相对谨慎,认为昨日上证指数下探反弹,后市仍然维持震荡趋势,短期有可能再次确认昨日下探低点;板块方面尽量规避创业板,可以关注券商板块,因为“二八”现象仍然很严重。
张立强认为,鉴于大幅下跌的背景下,银行、煤炭这些估值较低的板块,凸显了抗跌的特性。因此当下市场投资风格已经明显趋于理性,价值投资的氛围浓厚,上证指数在3200关口震荡的格局仍将延续,白马股之间轮动概率较大,投资者可以继续持有业绩优良、低市盈率的上市公司等待价值发现估值抬升的过程。 华商报记者 李王艳
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