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徐翔之后新生代“敢死队”浮出水面:八年一万倍

2016-08-22 12:41:54   中国证券报-中证网

监管层的处罚,揭开了孙国栋的神秘面纱,将其推上风口浪尖。祸不单行的是,2015年国投电力、河北钢铁、新能泰山等几只停牌重仓股复牌后暴跌,让孙国栋体会了“割肉”的剧痛。

“按照4个跌停的平均出货价估算,孙国栋在河北钢铁一只股票上的亏损,当在1.5亿元之上。加上国投电力、新能泰山,孙国栋在3只停牌股票上的亏损,估计在3亿元上下。3只股票都在6月牛熊交替之时买入,是当时各个题材的龙头股。神奇的是,三只股票几乎都在孙国栋买入当晚便宣布停牌。按照‘宁波敢死队’的操作手法,如果不是遇到连续一字跌停的极端行情,崇尚快进快出的孙国栋,在一只股票上的亏损几乎不可能超过10%。”有关报道称。

对于短线快进快出的孙国栋,买中停牌股无疑等于踩上地雷,买上多只停牌股无异于踩中地雷阵。一位熟悉敢死队操作手法的人士表示,跟市场上博重组的资金不同,如果知道股票会停牌,游资反而会在停牌前退出。因为停牌有不确定性,占用资金的周期又长。游资宁愿赚取有把握的短线涨幅,也不愿去赌停牌股。

 华丽转身的黑马:福建陈赟

目前已经选择阳光化的旭诚资产总经理陈赟,是福建著名的涨停敢死队。他出生于1982年,福建人,家庭炒股气氛浓厚。2003年毕业于医科大学,在一家医疗相关事业单位工作很短时间后,选择辞职在家专心炒股票。

在跌跌撞撞两年后陈赟摸索出了涨停追击战法,在2005年、2006年牛市期间,凭借追涨停股,每年投资收益高达数十倍。

陈贇向媒体介绍,在2007年上交所推出Topview数据(可以看到每一只股票在过去某一个交易日中的买、卖总量排名前10位的席位代码)后,陈贇几年间潜心研究Topview数据,对各路游资、机构行为全面梳理,逐渐形成了自己的涨停打板体系。

陈赟表示,总结出一套具有规律的体系后,他于2009-2012年就天天追击涨停板,成为当时福建最大的涨停板敢死队。

“当年市场冷清时,一天就6、7个涨停的股票,每天基本都有1只自己参与其中。涨停战法给自己带来了很高的回报,但随之而来的风险也比较高,甚至可能会有操纵市场的嫌疑。”陈赟表示。

同时,陈贇觉得自己还年轻,过往的敢死队模式也存在监管风险。在朋友和伙伴的建议下,2013年陈贇选择了阳光化,创办了旭诚资产发行公开产品运作,投资模式也更加多元化,不再是简单地做涨停板敢死队,同时研发出事件驱动、并购重组等新的盈利策略。即使做涨停板的模式也从原来自己去拉涨停,转型为追涨停。

关于涨停战法,陈贇表示,每天市场9:30开盘,等市场自然交易到9:45,市场就基本走出了当天的强弱;9:45研究一下当天深沪两市涨跌停以及涨跌个股排行情况,此判断市场是多头还是空头市场。如果是多头市场,就选一些强势个股追击,若是空头市场就少出击。依靠这个模式,也变相实现了牛市和熊市的仓位控制。

在陈贇看来,越早涨停的股票,当天越容易封死涨停,越容易成为市场的热点,第二天跳高的可能性越大。

不过,近期市场环境发生变化,监管趋严。陈赟表示,每周监管层包括证监会、深交所、上交所都会发对一些账户的监管函,而这些账户是市场最活跃资金,一直被抑制投机,因此市场非常微弱。还有经常“特停”,导致现在打板策略很难奏效。

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