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虽然这是脑补,但实际的问题差不多也就这些。目前世界上仍然在批产的、可以批产的第三代主战坦克只有T90、哈利德、99和99A,已经定型可以批产的但还没有批产的是VT4。T90AM其实还没有定型,乌拉尔厂不过是拿出来忽悠钱把它做完而已。考虑到因为69式坦克而与中国、与一机建立起来的合作关系,泰国陆军会怎么选择,几乎没有悬念了。

中国99A型主战坦克
对一机来说,这一单具有历史性的意义。这意味着中国终于加入了世界高端坦克出口国俱乐部。迄今为止,这个俱乐部的成员只有德国、美国、法国和英国。俄罗斯反复冲击俱乐部的大门却从未成功,今后也很难成功,因为他的坦克分系统技术长期裹足不前,而且供应链已经不完整了。
据说泰国陆军要购买多达150辆VT4,刨除教学培训机构用车,实际列装的也就是一个坦克旅规模。但是如果使用得当,一个旅的VT4可以荡平东南亚无敌手。某邻国哪怕派来全国的旧坦克也是然并卵,可能一个弹药基数都打不完,就全军覆没了。这会引发新一轮军备竞赛。财力充裕的马来西亚可能会转向西方坦克,反正德国人手里的豹2管够。某邻国会更加急切地采购T90,反正他才不会来买VT4。
现在的疑问是,泰国军费能支撑多高的训练强度?VT4那两条履带可不是什么便宜货。

VT-4主战坦克连续翻越斜坡

VT-4主战坦克进行垂直越障表演

VT-4主战坦克进行射击表演
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