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7个月13次通话 安倍努力培养和特朗普特殊关系

2017-09-07 05:15:35   一财网

有熟悉安倍及其内阁想法的人士称,鉴于特朗普政府的不可以预知性,安倍希望保持紧密联系以确保双方不存在误会。

“重复确认他们有公共目标和一套共同的战略或战术还是有价值的。”日本前外交官宫家邦彦(Kunihiko Miyake)说。“一次还不够,应该持续不断和频繁地再次确认。所有选项都在桌面上。”

保守和民族主义政府的结盟

美国《纽约时报》评论称,除了寻求确认之前的承诺外,两人之间的通话反应了两个保守和民族主义政府的结盟。在去年的美国大选中,安倍开始一直将宝押在希拉里身上,希望希拉里赢得总统选举,但安倍内阁发现特朗普圈子的国家安全负责人似乎更对他们的胃口。安倍本身是一个强硬派,一直希望强化日本军事力量。

今年8月初日本内阁批准2017年版《防卫白皮书》,为安倍政府延续扩张性防卫政策背书。白皮书还提到,日美同盟是日本安全保障的基础,在日本安全保障环境越发严峻的背景下,强化日美同盟变得更加重要。

美国前总统小布什的亚洲问题顾问格林(Michael J. Green)说:“我想日本政府想要看到美国的一些决心。”

东京国际大学国际关系和韩国政治教授和泉甫(Hajime Izumi)则认为,特朗普和安倍之间的通话“主要是向朝鲜传递信息”,但同时安倍也“想要中国多流汗”。

个人化学反应?

同时,也有分析师认为,特朗普和安倍频繁通电话也可能简单地被解读为两人之间的“化学反应”。

除了安倍积极主动地寻找机会和特朗普会面,在其他世界领导人批评特朗普退出《巴黎协定》,批评他在夏洛茨维尔暴力事件后的言论时,安倍并没有。

“安倍让特朗普感觉到,一个世界领导人对他领导能力的肯定,好像在说:‘好的,我看着你,依靠你,你就是那个人,我会一直站在你身边’。”斯坦福大学东亚研究讲师斯奈德(Daniel C. Sneider)说,“我想特朗普需要这些。”

一位美国外交官称,相较而言,奥巴马并不觉得有必要和安倍频繁对话。

在奥巴马政府曾任国家安全委员会亚洲高级主管的梅代罗斯(Evan S. Medeiros)说:“安倍是能巧妙利用特朗普的不可预知性和反常性的少数人之一。”

也有一些人指责安倍为赢得特朗普的“兄弟情”而对后者溜须拍马,但有政治分析人士认为,跟随世界上其他领导人的脚步批评特朗普的做法,对日本来说没有任何好处。

“或许特朗普在全球都不太受欢迎。”格林说,“但如果你是日本首相,你有机会建立和这个几乎不可能改变的美国总统的关系,这么做符合你的国家利益。”

责任编辑:穆启春 CN063
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