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要不惜代价狙击日本的工业4.0革命

2016-04-28 15:09:49   中华网论坛

对于“赴日旅游”增加“日本制造业人力成本”的问题,网友争论很大。

说实话,会出现这种情形,在我意料之中,因为在“赴日旅游”增加“日本制造业人力成本”的这一问题上,有许多敏感的内容我并没有讲。

其实,日本适龄劳动力到底有多稀缺,大家看看下面这段取自2014年新华社的背景资料就明白了。

日本首相安倍晋三24日召开内阁会议,射出经济改革的所谓“第三支箭”,重磅推出“女性经济学”,意在提高女性在企业中的参与度和活跃度,增加日本劳动力数量,进而帮助经济复苏。

安倍当天早些时候在官邸与经济界代表举行会谈,要求经济界协助推进政府提出的“女性经济学”方针。安倍要求,各企业必须设定女性进入管理层的比例目标,并为实现目标制定自主行动计划。

安倍的“女性经济学”政策主要内容包括:在2020年以前,把女性在企业管理层所占比例由2013年的7.5%提升至30%;要求上市公司在年度报告中公开女性高管比例;在2017年之前,新增40万个负责照看孩子的处所,新增可照看1万名学龄儿童的课后托管项目,以保障女性全天候投入工作。

安倍同时承诺,将考虑改革现行税收和养老金制度,使全天候工作女性的权益得到进一步保障。

日本政府将商讨具体措施,为休产假和育儿假的女性提供更多援助,计划向处于育儿期的女性提供短时间工作和在家利用电脑办公的“远程工作”。同时,政府还将推进男性职员休育儿假的制度。

相关数据显示,如果日本女性走向社会,将带动日本国内生产总值(GDP)增长近13%。不少日本专家认为,女性劳动力增加将成为改变日本劳动力短缺现状的关键。女性走入社会不仅会增加日本劳动力的数量,还将提高日本企业的运营质量,从而帮助经济复苏。

看完上面这组背景资料,大家想必已经心里有数了吧?

在我个人看来,随着“赴日旅游”日趋火爆,日本的产业结构必然要发生深刻变化,日本越来越多的适龄劳动力,必然会随着产业结构的改变,而向着旅游业,服务业,医药保健业等行业转移。

而这种改变,对适龄劳动力严重不足的日本来说,注定会伤害到其他行业,比如制造业!

我知道,部分网友有一种看法,认为这种情况对日本来说无所谓,毕竟制造业可以用机器人代替人力。

而日本的机器人产业,恰恰处于世界前列。

换言之,咱们中华家鼓励赴日旅游,不但打击不到日本的制造业,说不定还会帮助日本尽早完成工业的机器人化!

那么,事实真是如此吗?

在这里,因为相关内容太敏感,我不会针对这个问题进行详细解析,我能告诉大家的,只有一点,那就是……好好研究一下工业4.0革命的内涵吧!

其实,大家只要留心观察就会发现,日本的“工业4.0革命”概念,跟中欧美三家有着非常大的区别。

那么,日本如此“特立独行”,难道是因为中欧美三家的概念都是错误的吗?

很显然,答案是否定的!

在我个人看来,日本之所以如此,其根本原因就在于日本有一个非常大的软肋,那就是……适龄劳动力严重不足。

而中美欧三方,在这点上要比日本强得多!

所以安倍经济学中的一个重要内容,就是鼓励日本女性就业,进而增加日本社会的适龄劳动力。

因为只有如此,才能让日本的“工业4.0革命”跟上中欧美三方的脚步,而不至于发展出一个不伦不类的所谓“日本工业4.0革命”。

说实话,放眼当下的世界,谁能先完成工业4.0革命,谁就能在未来的发展中占据优势。

正因如此,各国都会想尽办法,拖延,甚至阻止竞争对手完成“工业4.0革命”。

“天河二号”遭到美国围堵,以及围棋“阿尔法狗”的出现,其实就是这种深层博弈的具体显现。

而对于日本,尤其是一个对咱们中华家有恶意的日本,只要能狙击掉他的“工业4.0革命”,哪怕付出再大代价,也是值得的!


责任编辑:张海潮
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