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贾跃亭:一个会计的资本腾挪术

2017-07-14 09:22:43   

1、这是个高成长的朝阳行业。

2、国外产品卖得很贵,这给了国内企业崛起的机会。

拿华为来说,它进行技术攻关,即使产品比国外便宜一半,即使给本公司的员工开出几倍于其他国内企业的高新,华为还是在赚大钱,基本上每年的增长率是30%以上。

为什么华为、中兴都卖力地投入技术研发,因为这里面的利润太大了!但是当华为已经成为世界电信业巨头之后,只能进军消费电子领域,开始做手机了,因为在电信基础设施领域就那么几个巨头,天花板快到了。

所以虽然在2000年任正非写过《华为的冬天》,貌似瓶颈要来了,其实从整个行业来看根本不是那么回事。

既然整个行业仍然是高成长高利润,相关人员把一些技术含量不那么高的产品交给“关系户”来做,大家一起挣钱,也就可以理解了。贾会计的山西西伯尔(西贝尔),很可能就是由此诞生的这么一家企业。

2002年,贾会计确实挣钱了,然后就是继续疯狂做大,并且成立了Sinotel Technologies并且把山西西贝尔的业务装进来,2007年在新加坡上市,贾会计直接和间接持有80.5%的股份。但是,他在通信行业是持久挣大钱吗?

根本不是这样。

道理很简单,如果给他融资两亿元的Sinotel Technologies能始终高利润、高成长,他为什么不把主要精力放在这一块呢?

但是他2004年就成立了乐视,初始业务是当时很热的视频,以后的主要精力都放在乐视上了,并从乐视衍生出一大堆公司(据说有60多个)。

事实上,精通财技的贾会计在2010年又在新加坡搞了一次增发,2800万股,每股0.4087新加坡元,说要装进一些乐视的业务,而且还增发成功了,又捞了一笔钱,然后又是持续亏损。终于,在2016年3月15日,Sinotel Technologies退市了。

退市之前的好多年都是赚钱的,但从2012年开始,Sinotel Technologies都是亏的,而且越亏越多,如下图所示。

仔细看看上面这张图,大家不觉得奇怪吗?2008年的营收是3.62亿,税后净利润是1.07亿,什么业务能有如此的高利润?这么高的利润,为什么不继续做大做强,反而去玩什么乐视?

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