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50城前5月卖地破万亿 土地溢价率两极分化

2017-06-01 09:28:06   经济参考报

今年前5个月,土地市场逐渐回归平稳。中原地产研究中心最新统计数据显示,2017年前5月,全国土地出让最多的50大城市合计土地出让收入达到10103.8亿元,同比2016年前5月的7594.6亿元,上涨幅度为33%。一二线城市土地出让金仍然同比增长,不过土地溢价率在明显降低。

一二线城市仍为热点地区,前5个月北京、武汉、广州、南京、合肥等11个城市土地收入均超过了300亿元。三四线城市土地收入明显上升,其中温州、佛山、嘉兴、宁波等城市超过200亿元。从全国范围来看,有33个城市土地出让收入超过了100亿元。

另一方面,全国土地市场溢价率出现明显变化。其中,一二线城市同比明显下调,特别是一线城市,经营性用地溢价率平均为21%,达到近5年最低。而三四线城市的平均土地溢价率高达46%,刷新了历史纪录。

从溢价率看,大部分城市平均溢价率相比2016年有所下调,在一系列约束性政策下,高价地出现数量有所减少。其中,武汉、北京、南京、合肥、天津等城市2017年以来的土地溢价率相比2016年同期有明显降低。三线城市的溢价率则有明显上升,包括扬州、常州、嘉兴、盐城等城市溢价率在热点城市中排名前十。

中原地产首席分析师张大伟分析认为,从最近调控重压下的市场表现来看,热点一二线城市调控政策非常多,土地溢价率被各种政策抑制。“统计局公布的房价上涨城市基本全部为三线城市,除广州上涨1.4%外,其他城市基本均为之前涨幅较低的城市。热点的一二线城市全面进入调控周期,房价涨幅明显收窄,这些因素已经明显传递到土地市场”。

值得一提的是,当前房地产企业拿地动作开始从一二线热点城市向周边的三四线城市区域过渡。张大伟说,从调控政策看,预计后续政策将继续扩围,调控城市数量也将继续增加,整体市场的调控目标是约束房价上涨过快区域。“一二线城市房价涨幅回落已经出现,预计在2至3季度出现环比下行的表现;三四线城市依然会在投资需求推动下,有轻微上涨的表现。整体房地产市场的热度将从过去的一二线转移到三四线”。

针对当前市场一二线热点城市土地市场的形势,国土资源部规划司司长庄少勤近日指出,供地数量与住房价格并没有必然的关系。他认为,房价上涨缘于多个环节的综合因素,其中,一个重要原因是取决于住房供应体系。“房价过热的城市,往往是大量投资性需求尚未得到合理抑制,而干扰了市场。”

“全国范围内的土地和住房供应基本能够满足人们对居住空间的需求”,庄少勤表示,在投资性需求没有有效抑制的前提下,单纯增加土地供给并不能直接平抑住房价格。

责任编辑:杨晓晨 CN067
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