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印度,听到没?
中国外交部12日发布消息称,应尼泊尔政府邀请,中国国务院副总理汪洋将于本周访问尼泊尔。中方没有介绍有关此访的更多细节,但不少印度媒体都提到,这是一次在印中边境对峙背景下进行的访问,且印度外长刚从尼泊尔离开。一直以来,印度都对中国在尼泊尔的影响力充满警惕,尼泊尔则试图在两大邻国间寻找平衡。然而,对于眼下的中印边境对峙,尼泊尔学者发出力挺中国的清晰声音。在刚过去的这个周末,尼泊尔“雪山之巅”电视台组织了一场以中印边境对峙为主题的讨论。参与的专家表示,洞朗完全是中国领土,中国在洞朗地区修路和印度没有关系。
尼泊尔位置
参与讨论的是尼泊尔国际关系及危机管控学者KP·夏玛博士和尼军退役将领、军事专家优曼许·巴特拉伊。“涉事边界问题是中国和不丹之间的事,为什么印度要向中国控制的地区派兵?”“如果中印开战,尼泊尔会受影响吗?”主持人博帕尔·卢伊特尔提出一系列问题。
巴特拉伊说,此事与印度没有关系。夏玛表示,洞朗不是争议地区,完完全全是中国领土,不丹也承认这一点。印度之所以这样做,是因为总理莫迪并不那么受欢迎,在2019年大选中他还没有拿得出手的议题,需要在洞朗问题上打极端爱国主义这张牌。与此同时,印度想要借此向南亚国家展示其霸权。夏玛认为,印军如果不从中国领土撤出的话,中国发动进攻的可能性很大。此外,中国还可能把力量部署到其他争议地区,让印感到压力并最终放弃。
中印对峙
几天前,尼泊尔外长马哈拉首次就中印对峙表态说,尼泊尔持中立立场,且希望双方通过外交渠道和平解决问题。对此,夏玛认为,这会被中国看作是“印度的声音”,因为中国想说的是,印度军队非法越界进入中国领土,中方为什么要谈判呢?夏玛希望通过电视台的节目向马哈拉提出两点建议:能说就说实话,不能说的话,现在尼泊尔最好的方法是保持沉默外交。巴特拉伊也表示,保持沉默对尼泊尔更有利。但他认为,如果中印一旦开战,尼泊尔就必须发声,强调和平解决争端。鉴于有4万尼泊尔人在印度军队服役,尼泊尔会被卷入战争。
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