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环球时报:特朗普大胜 希拉里倒在白宫家门口

2016-11-09 15:36:09   

原标题:社评:特朗普大胜,美国传统政治遭猛烈冲击

美国大选爆出震撼世界的最初结果:特朗普赢了,成为新一届美国总统。希拉里黯然输了,这位前总统的妻子两次冲击美国大选,上次在初选中功亏一篑,这次她败倒在自己熟悉的白宫老家的家门口。

上一次希拉里是作为个人输的,这一次她是代表美国传统精英政治理念和权威输的。特朗普赢了,他赢的不只是希拉里,而是打败了从共和党内部直到全美国一路阻挡他的庞大精英群体。

有人说这是一次“政治造反”,一场美国的“文化大革命”,虽然这些说法挺夸张的,但它们从一个侧面描绘了美国当前思想政治状态的神韵。

虽然特朗普的名字早已在全球如雷贯耳,但是美国和世界远没有做他真能当上美国总统的精神准备。之前绝大部分人相信希拉里获胜的概率要大大高于他,他冲击美国总统宝座的疯狂游戏早晚会在某个时刻戛然而止。

因此他的获胜首先带来精神上的强大冲击,他的当选给人以冲破框架和动摇根基的感受,让美国政治的一些核心要素显得岌岌可危。

特朗普从一开始就遭到美国主流媒体和精英层的蔑视,他被广泛定性成大嘴、鼓吹异端邪说者、很不靠谱说不定会干出什么来的人。这样的人最后竟然成为美国总统,说明美国的原有政治秩序出了大问题。

美国民主共和两党的主流价值都偏离了时代;美国的精英媒体严重背离了中立客观的新闻报道原则,它们故意误导选民,所做民调大部分掺了假;这个国家政治上的整体判断力也出了重大偏差,还有,美国精英群体比以往更加突出地站到了中下层民众的对立面。

至于特朗普会带来多少美国内外政策的变化,我们相信这些变化将会小于他当选带来的感受上的断崖式颠覆。已经当选的他至少短时间内未必会急着出台彻底转向的新政,他不兑现选战中的很多诺言应是高概率的,因为他不具有真正大刀阔斧把美国翻转过来的实力。

美国毕竟是由精英群体把持的国家,全国中高层掌握实际权力的人大部分都反对特朗普,从而形成让他绝望的牵制力。美国在世界各地的盟友也不是省油的灯,它们会倒过来给华盛顿施压,让特朗普回归“孤立主义”的一些想法难以展开、兑现。

这次大选对美国社会造成前所未有的分裂,那些没投特朗普票的人很多从心底深处“恨”他,这种“恨”是美国选举史上罕见的。这是一次恨比爱多得多的大选,将有大量美国人很长时间无法在感情上接受特朗普成为他们的总统,美国在选后重新弥合、团结起来将非常困难。

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