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台学者:台军已无力阻挡解放军 两岸和平是最好选项

2017-06-09 04:43:56   参考消息

参考消息网6月9日报道 台媒称,美国提出的2017《中国军力报告》,台学者指美国对台政策不变,变的是地缘政策转变。两岸的军事实力差距只会更大,但武器不是最重要的,民心士气才是,台湾在1996年台海危机时股市崩盘,现在只会更惨,两岸除了和平别无他途。

台湾中时电子报6月8日发表题为《两岸军力悬殊和平是最好选项》的报道称,台军导弹指挥部前计划处长、台空军退役上校,台湾政大对外关系教授周宇平受访时指出,美提《中国军力报告》还是以其利益为主,警告“台独”不是一条可行道路,支持“一中政策”不会变。

他强调,解放军军力走向大海军概念,力量在东海、南海延伸。“东风-16”及“东风-21”导弹都很有威慑力,各式长短程导弹光是摆在那里就很吓人。“东风-21”号称航母杀手,精度更高,解放军火箭军未来是很可怕的一支部队。随着北斗导航卫星的精度增加,解放军导弹精准度提高,数量不需增加,杀伤力却提升。

周宇平强调,台湾的导弹投射能力已无法阻挡解放军导弹,但重要的不是武力,而是民心士气,1996年台海危机时台湾股市就曾崩盘,现在信心危机只会更严重,除了两岸和平别无他途。

台湾战略学会前理事长、世新大学教授王昆义针对该报告表示,基本上与往年差异不大,美国对台湾的立场不因个别总统改变,维持历任总统的基调。改变的是奥巴马时期东亚政策重返亚洲,亚洲战略再平衡,但特朗普不同,对东亚政策有变,对台政策不变。不支持任一方改变台海现状,不支持“台独”。

报道称,报告中强调不支持“台独”,代表美国不想趟浑水,仍希望两岸稳定,不希望美国在朝鲜半岛已经费尽心思之余,还要费心解决两岸之间的纷争。

报道称,去年蔡英文上台后,五角大楼相关报告马上就提不支持“台独”,今年又再提一次,显示美国人对蔡英文的“台独”倾向不放心,因此需要再提醒一次,明白告诉台当局领导人,美国的政策是反对“台独”,而且支持”一个中国”政策,不会随着特朗普总统上任而有所改变,美国的政策是有持续性的。

报道称,台湾根本没有能力与大陆抗争,尤其是民进党上台这一年以来,年金改革已经让许多台湾优秀军人选择退伍离开,军事人才出现严重断层。还有,如何挽回台湾的民心士气,可能远比去争取美国对台军售还要重要。

资料图:常规导弹第一方队的东风-15B弹道导弹发射车、东风-16弹道导弹发射车经过长安街地区。新华社记者陈斌摄

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