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官媒:希望蔡英文能将民进党从"台独"狂想中彻底带出

2016-01-17 06:48:59   

社评:台湾民众选蔡英文选的不是“台独”

蔡英文在16日举行的台湾“总统”选举中大胜,民进党同时赢得“立委”选举,获得立法院的多数席位。台湾新的政党轮替成为现实,国民党将再次成为在野党。

自前年“九合一”选举国民党惨败后,民进党再次上台就已经成为台湾普遍的政治预期。为确保平稳赢得“总统”选举,这一年多来蔡英文说话谨慎,在两岸政策方面打模糊牌,一再强调要维持两岸的“现状”。

蔡英文显然吸取了4年前操弄“台独”议题导致败选的教训,这一次刻意绕着统独敏感问题走,使得这次选举的“两岸意味”是台湾有“总统”竞争选举以来最淡的一次。这次各方说“台湾道路”时,含义已经不是统独,而是指更广泛的道路选择。比如如何促经济,如何解决社会公平问题,如何保障年轻人的未来等等。

因此显然不能将这次投票看成是对两岸关系的一次打分,民进党获胜更不意味着台湾民众对“台独”路线的支持。蔡英文和民进党看来也清楚这一点,她在胜选后的记者会上继续就两岸问题“打太极拳”,表示要“建立具有一致性、可预测性、可持续的两岸关系”。

回头看过去的8年,两岸关系和平发展取得相当厚实的成绩,它们已是台海现实的一部分,民进党上台后的大陆政策必受到一定制约。此外大陆的实力今非昔比,政治上可以影响亚太,军事上对台绝对优势,经济上让台湾很难离开,大陆引导台海局势的主动权已经无可动摇。“台独”历史性地成为彻头彻尾的伪命题。

国民党执政8年对形成两岸关系今天的局面做出了贡献,它的这一功绩两岸社会都会肯定。台湾政党轮替之后,民进党就要对台湾全社会的福祉负责,就不能像在野时那样针对两岸关系胡来。它如果抛弃之前8年形成的台海政治成果,将是挖自己的“执政”墙角,陈水扁的殷鉴离今天并不太远。

世易时移,大陆方面不妨对台湾的政党轮替更超脱些。无论谁在台上,我们促两岸和平发展的大政策可以是稳定的,当然,我们反“台独”的态度在任何时候也不应动摇。

蔡英文目前承认“九二事实”,仍未公开接受“九二共识”,这为她上台后两岸机制化的交流能否保持下去带来不确定性。国台办负责人16日晚表示,北京将坚持“九二共识”,没有向台方发出“可以变通”的任何信号。

在搞乱两岸关系的情况下,民进党几乎没有反转台湾经济走势的可能。反复的政党轮替也应让蔡英文和她的同僚们懂得了台湾经济衰退的政治后果。无论蔡的政治理念如何,她都需面对现实,她应当知道自己的选择并不多。

“一个中国”的现实大如天,台湾“外交部”恐怕是岛内最尴尬的部门。台目前仅存一些世人往往都不知道在地球哪个位置的小“邦交国”,而且有人分析,那些小国中很多希望同北京建交,大陆如果愿意,随时可以作为“对台湾的惩罚”把它们当中的一些“夺走”。民进党宣称要台湾的“国家尊严”,大陆手里有足够的牌应对。

历史不可能倒退,陈水扁时期的剑走偏锋蔡英文一旦重蹈将是“死路”。希望蔡英文能将民进党从“台独”狂想中彻底带出来,为两岸和平发展做出她的一份贡献。

责任编辑:李东舰 CN031
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