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朱立伦民调攀升 与蔡英文支持度差距拉近至9.5%

2015-12-23 10:51:49   中新网

朱立伦民调攀升与蔡英文支持度差距拉近至9.5%

朱立伦(右)与蔡英文(左)(台湾联合报与中时电子报资料图拼合)

中新网12月23日电据台湾《中国时报》报道,台湾2016“大选”倒数24天,赶在辩论前夕国民党公布最新民调,国民党2016“大选”候选人朱立伦支持度首度突破3成,仅落后民进党2016“大选”候选人蔡英文约9.5%,两人差距拉至个位数。据悉,朱民调攀升,主要与青年及军公教两大族群支持度显著回升有关。

民调显示,蔡英文以40.4%支持度暂领先,朱为30.9%,亲民党2016“大选”候选人宋楚瑜仅8.7%,未表态者占2成。朱、蔡两人支持度差距首度拉近至9.5%。

国民党表示,辩论前夕,朱频频释出具体政策,针对不同族群、社团、网络、青年对话,致民调支持度破3成。反观蔡在土地炒作案上未清楚说明,导致支持度下降,双方差距进入个位数。

党内辅选干部分析,朱立伦民调破3成,主要与青年、军公教支持度上升有关。原先很多20至29岁年轻人对朱较陌生,只知朱是国民党主席,将很多国民党包袱、原罪归咎朱,“换柱”更加深年轻人对朱立伦负面印象。

不过,在朱立伦加强与青年对话,包括出席日前台大青年座谈、参加资深制作人沈玉琳网络节目等,都让不少年轻人对朱改观;相较,蔡拒出席青年座谈,派副手陈建仁代打,却在网络引发挞伐。

至于军公教,辅选干部分析,随着选战进入最后倒数,蓝军支持者焦虑感和危机感渐强,尤其前台中市长胡志强出任朱竞选总部主委后,更稳定军心;日前朱到军公教协会、全教总座谈,也获不少正面评价,加上王如玄出面说明军宅案后,让军公教支持者情绪渐平复。

该民调由国民党委托台湾意向顾问公司于12月18至20日执行,以22县市电话住宅用户为抽样母体,成功访问1069位年满20岁以上有投票权民众,在95%信心水平下,抽样误差小于正负3百分点。

责任编辑:张晓伟 CN042
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