新闻 > 评论
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China

威胁退出"伊核协议",特朗普为何频"退群"

2017-10-16 15:58:17   新京报

■观察家

“伊核协议”对于美伊双方,都没“吃亏”,符合美伊两国利益,也有利于世界和平与安定。美国不该贸然退出这一协议。

高举“美国优先”旗帜,特朗普的执政风格有个特点:一言不合就“退群”。

退出联合国教科文组织仅过了一天,10月13日,美国总统特朗普拒绝向国会证实伊朗遵守了伊朗核协议,并称将制裁伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队。他还说,如果美国国会和盟友不同意加强伊核协议,美国将退出这一协议。

特朗普退的这些“群”,在美国国内都有不小的争议,分歧最大的要数“伊核协议”。

特朗普的“任性”其实是坚定不移地贯彻了自己所代表的路线。按照特朗普和共和党内部美国保守势力的说法,“伊核协议”不仅没有制止伊朗发展核武器,反而成为伊朗发展核武器的掩护。

但“伊核协议”也是美国目前能达成的解决伊核问题的最佳方案。按照某些人士的推算,按照协议达成前的水平,伊朗可能仅需一年的时间就可以研制出核武器,“协议”中规定伊朗要放弃高丰度核燃料,实际上是以拿走核武器原材料的方式“冻结”伊朗发展核武器的可能。

伊朗方面当然也清楚这一结果,但严厉的制裁措施已经使伊朗经济遭受重创。根据世界银行公布的数据,自2012年起能源出口和金融遭到制裁以来至2015年伊核协议达成,伊朗的国内生产总值按照现价美元计算缩水了20%以上,人均GDP更是缩水1/3以上。

伊朗是个经济外向性强的国家,国民对经济状况还是比较敏感的。制裁出台仅一年,2013年温和保守派的哈桑·鲁哈尼就在选举中胜出,上台当年即与奥巴马政府展开外交接触,谈判“核协议”,目的只有一个,先谋求经济发展,核武器的事可以放放再说。

“伊核协议”最终解除了对伊朗的能源制裁和部分金融制裁,伊朗能源出口快速恢复,宏观经济逐渐企稳。

由此可见,“伊核协议”对于美伊双方,都没“吃亏”,符合美伊两国利益,也有利于世界和平与安定。美国不该贸然退出这一协议。

在美国社会矛盾复杂尖锐的大背景下,特朗普的胜出是美国社会撕裂的产物,决定了他的执政突出代表了保守主义势力基本盘的主张。这种主张,本质上是反对现有全球治理体系的。威胁退出“伊核协议”,包括此前退出联合国教科文组织、TPP等,都是这一主张下的产物。

按照特朗普13日的说法,要由国会决定是否恢复此前针对伊核问题实施的制裁,但他自己已要求财政部对伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队实施制裁,最终制裁的强弱将直接影响伊朗经济和政治晴雨。特朗普的这一做法,已经将美伊关系放在了火上。如果美国最终真的退出“伊核协议”,将对中东和平稳定带来巨大负面影响。

□储殷(国际关系学院副教授)

责任编辑:孙启浩 CN037
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11157580/20171016/31577146.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/03/29 05:36:28

Powered by China
China