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中美对话不是美方说中方听

2017-06-20 13:24:41   环球时报

中美外交安全对话明天将在华盛顿举行,国务委员杨洁篪、总参谋长房峰辉与美国国务卿蒂勒森、防长马蒂斯将出席对话。这让一些人想到美国与盟国的“2+2”对话阵容,它是中美新的战略对话框架的一部分。

美方已在最近几天放出风来,表示朝鲜问题将是此次对话的核心,华盛顿还顺便表达了对中国在抑制朝鲜核导活动方面“可能没有尽力”的不满。美国和西方的有些媒体做出分析称,中美的“蜜月期”或许正在结束,两国关系面临特朗普政府对华采取更强硬姿态的“又一转折”。

中美应当说就没有过蜜月期,谈它是否结束更像是一种炒作。特朗普正式入主白宫前的那段时间说了一些与美国长期对华政策相抵触的话,当时给予其团队最大压力的恰恰是美国舆论和战略界,而非北京这边。特朗普团队正式执政后对之前的表态做了调整,中美关系回归常态,海湖庄园会晤巩固了这一态势,这大概是中美关系的真实情形。

有人这样概括特朗普政府的对华政策思维:他为了寻求中国在朝鲜问题上的支持,对中国做出了全面让步。一旦北京在朝鲜问题上帮忙的力度令华盛顿失望,特朗普可能就会“结束交易”,断然改变对华态度。

这种分析的出发点是,美国可以绝对主导美中关系,而且做得到随便驾驭涉及中国核心利益的议题。必须指出,这种以美国为中心的傲慢视角折射出很多扭曲的东西。

美国在南海没有消停,美国军舰仍在那里宣示所谓“航行自由”。南海之所以平静了些,首先是因为菲律宾不想闹了,美方搅和南海的借口少了,它做同样挑衅能够得到的响应和所能释放的意义都没以前多了。美方现在去南海巡航,除了多烧钱,一网下去捞不到多少收成。

特朗普没有宣布中国为汇率操纵国,因为那个念头华盛顿之前就动过,但后来都放弃了。中国没有操纵汇率,这是对照美国给汇率操纵国所定几个量化标准算出来的,特朗普未给北京扣这个帽子,并不能说他比前任对中国更好一些。

只要特朗普政府不放松对中国高科技出口的限制,不卖给中国先进武器,不推动废除《与台湾关系法》,不下令美军停止对中国沿海的抵近侦察,不停止在韩国部署“萨德”,不向中国开放更多美国市场等等,我们就感觉不到华盛顿对中国做了什么“让步”,难道仅仅是美国官员这一阵子忙于其他方向的纠纷,少说了几句让中国不悦的话,就算“让步”吗?

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