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黄金在2018年将获得友好的环境支撑

2017-10-17 09:12:54   中国经济网

Metals Focus在周一(10月16日)发布的报告中称,明年看好黄金价格的有利背景。该咨询公司解释说,经过九月份大部分时间的疲软之后,十月份的黄金价格较高,原因在于美元疲弱,因为交易员认为美联储的鹰派看法比以前少。

Metals Focus称 “随着市场仍然预期美联储将在12月份宣布再次加息,金价可能在短期内仍然处于压力之下。那就是说,自9月中旬以来,其中大部分预期已经被消化了,进一步抛售的规模应该是有限的。进一步看,美国的通胀似乎可能会增加,如果只是温和的话。因此,美联储加息的速度将会持续缓慢,可能还没有目前的市场定价的更快,反过来又会延续美国目前负面或低迷的短期实际利率环境。”

同时,该公司对美国股市的反弹持续表示怀疑。另外,宏观经济和地缘政治背景下的黄金投资可能依然有利。该公司指出了美国贸易和政府的外交政策的不确定性,朝鲜持续的紧张局势,欧洲的民粹主义,中东的冲突和中国的经济挑战。Metals Focus“说所有这一切都应该有助于投资者对黄金的兴趣,特别是在机构投资者中。这是我们在2018年期间对黄金价格看好的主要假设。随着投资者多仓的增加,年初至今年度相对较轻,这表明明年新流入黄金的资金可能性相对较强。”

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