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新能源汽车概念分化 主题基金首尾差近四成

2017-09-13 06:41:21   中国经济网

不过,尽管尾盘下砸,但不少受访者认为新能源汽车板块依然是当前重要主线。前述深圳私募负责人指出,“就如前段时间的领头羊次新板块,经历了板块普涨、内部分化、二轮补涨的一个较长的发散阶段,热点不会这么快就退去,接下就要看调整之后是否会再度发起上攻。”

机构关注长期机会

在新能源汽车产业链大热的背景下,并非所有主题基金都上演了“狂飙”的戏码,相反个别基金近3个月涨幅甚至不到1个点,远远落后于平均水平。

据数据统计显示,目前名字中带有“新能源”字样的基金共有23只(分份额统计,下同),其中主动管理型基金有10只,被动指数型基金有13只。若剔除今年3月和4月才成立的嘉实新能源材料A/C以及鹏华新能源产业,剩余20只基金今年以来的平均涨幅为18.52%。

具体到单只基金来看,则出现了明显的分化。以主动管理型基金的表现来看,信达澳银新能源产业基金是其中的佼佼者,截至9月11日该基金今年以来的涨幅高达44.70%,在全市场所有偏股权益基金中位列前茅。

而金信新能源汽车和融通新能源今年以来分别仅有7.61%和6.48%的涨幅,收益与信达澳银新能源产业基金相差近40%。

配置上的差异显然是造成同类主题基金业绩分化严重的主要原因,在板块普涨的格局之下,部分未能分羹的基金极有可能是仓位不到位或重仓股出现了偏差。

信达澳银新能源产业基金经理冯明远向记者表示,“二级市场新兴产业的股票经常表现为齐涨齐跌,板块效应明显。对产业而言,最终一定是大部分公司在竞争中归于消沉,少数优秀企业胜出。对投资者而言,需要找出能胜出的企业,获取长期回报。”

冯明远认为,新能源车的产业化是一个漫长的过程。他指出,“二级市场对于新兴产业有较高的偏好,因为其中孕育长期牛股的机会。新能源汽车作为当前市场的典型新兴产业方向,其集体性暴涨,反映了二级市场资本的优化配置方向。这将有助于优秀企业获取资本优势,更好地推动产业发展,我们更愿意从中长期的视角评估其投资机会。”

当然,还有许多成长风格的基金因重仓新能源汽车板块而成为业绩领先者,个别公司甚至出现多只基金抱团现象。

例如上投摩根旗下的上投摩根新兴动力混合A/H、上投摩根核心优选混合、上投摩根行业轮动混合H等基金二季末均重仓了多只新能源汽车个股,足见对新能源汽车板块的看好,而这几只基金年内涨幅均超过40%。

上投摩根基金向记者分析称,此前新能源汽车板块发展较快,但国家的中长期发展战略如何,市场仍有争议。而9月9日双积分政策和禁售燃油汽车时间表这两条重要信息,分别在中期和长期代表了国家的政策支持决心,为新能源汽车行业发展打开空间。此外,7月新能源汽车产销量数据同比分别增长52.6%和55.2%,其中纯电动汽车产销量同比增长69.6%和70.2%,行业的实际增长数据也为未来趋势添加了注脚。

上投摩根基金认为,新能源汽车的行业发展速度将越来越快,终端销量不断提升,上下游产业链均会受益。可重点关注行业内供求关系紧张、成长确定、空间巨大、估值合理的板块投资机会。

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