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动力煤 预计下半年产能释放超过两亿吨

2017-08-28 09:25:52   中国经济网

神华集团8月3日发布公告称,受露天矿征地进度滞后影响,所属哈尔乌素露天矿和宝日希勒矿于8月起暂时停止或减少煤炭生产。4日晚间,华电能源发布《关于燃煤短缺的重大事项公告》称,对口长协煤矿减产导致长协煤合同无法履行,预计今年公司燃煤产生351.12万吨缺口。煤炭和电力企业的两则公告引发关于东北地区冬储煤紧张的讨论和上半年煤炭价格上涨原因的追溯。其实,发改委早在7月中旬就已部署多项举措,积极推进产能释放,以满足迎峰度夏和冬季取暖的煤炭需求。

上半年煤价高位运行原因有三

今年上半年,煤价高位运行,原因有以下三点:

其一,从数据来看:上半年需求同比增加9000万吨;全国清理违法违规产能近5亿吨;去年下半年月均进口2700万吨,而今年6月仅2160万吨;上半年水电减发234亿千瓦时,相当于增加电煤消耗量1000万吨。

其二,从市场主体来看:煤炭企业通过减量生产、贸易商通过囤积货源、期货市场投资者借助大秦线检修和“煤管票”等临时管理制度提升了看涨情绪,形成了期货、现货、指数价格的联动。

其三,从其他因素来看:今年夏季天气炎热,居民用电负荷大幅增长,截至7月24日,全国用电量达到210.99亿千瓦时,较去年同期增长9.32%,京津冀局部电网出现限负荷的情况。此外,主产区“煤管票”、“限时销售”、安监环保检查等政策、环渤海港口柴油车禁运等措施不同程度地加重了供应紧张局面。

发改委保供稳价措施频出

今年3月,宁夏7大火电厂联名反映煤价上涨、经营困难的问题;8月4日晚间,华电能源的公告无异于呼吁国家相关管理层帮助协调其电煤供应不足问题。

近2—3个月,在煤炭利益相关方共同推动下,价格再次上涨,煤炭企业、贸易商均有获益,火电企业的成本却在增加。对此,发改委采取了一系列措施:

首先,提高煤炭供应能力。一是加快在建项目达产;二是加快先进产能煤矿办理核准用地和采矿手续,违法违规行为由国家层面直接问责;三是加快已核准煤矿建设和已建成煤矿的联合试运转;四是煤炭企业要满负荷生产,不宜用停产方式应对安全生产和环境保护检查;五是优先支持发电央企煤电一体化项目建设,加快项目核准和先进产能核增。

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