新闻 > 经济
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China

8月份后白条猪价格始终处于近5年同期最低点 多地现压价现象影响众多相关上市公司

2017-08-24 08:51:44   中国经济网

今年跌跌不休的猪价进入8月份以来并没有好转的迹象。

卓创资讯最新的研报显示,从市场情况来看,截至8月23日,江苏地区外三元出栏高价涨至15.5元/公斤,较15日上涨0.7元/公斤,涨幅达4.73%。南方大场外三元出栏价格陆续突破15.0元/公斤的关卡,并有向15.5元/公斤突破的迹象。但在南方猪价一路高唱凯歌的同时,山东、河北和东北地区猪价上行态势甚微,东北地区更是有不断的压价尝试。

而从北京的零售市场反馈数据中可知,8月份的猪价行情也不乐观。

“实际上,进入8月份以后,白条猪的价格始终处于近5年同期的最低点,比供应过剩的2014年同期的肉价还低,说明毛猪的供应形势已经由供求基本平衡向供应过剩过渡,肉价进一步下滑是在短时间内难以扭转的大趋势。”新发地在最新一周的研报中如是解释8月份的市场。

猪价在低位徘徊

在最新一周里(2017年8月12日至8月18日),新发地市场白条猪批发平均价在周内大部分时间里缓慢下降,周末略有反弹。“按照新发地市场白条猪价格走势的规律,今年立秋前后出现的最高价,很可能是今年下半年的最高价,能够突破立秋前后价格的高点需要等到春节之前了。”

研报同时预测,后期肉价还会继续波动下行,这种波动下行的态势会一直延续到今年年底。所以,养殖场,特别是那些小型养猪场还是应该坚持顺时出栏的原则,压栏有可能得不偿失。

卓创资讯认为,猪价或小跌后企稳。区域市场来看,此前猪价呈现北稳南涨态势。南方市场适重猪源供应略显不足屠宰企业收购不畅,加之规模化养殖场上调出栏价格,使得市场价格上涨0.2元/公斤,主流价格达到14.8-15.0元/公斤。北方由于东北猪源供应有一定的增加,企业收购压力减轻,价格出现小降,平均降幅在0.1元/公斤,主流价格在14.0-14.4元/公斤。受此影响,北京、河北、山东等地,价格整体趋于稳定,部分企业压价意向增强。预计近期猪价仍将出现南涨北降的态势,但调整幅度有限。

有上市公司坦言受影响

猪价的波动对养殖业上市公司的影响也是显而易见的。据Wind数据统计显示,目前共有7家养殖类上市公司发布前三季度业绩报告,根据数据显示,有4家公司预计净利润将同比下降,“生猪价格下降。”对于业绩下降的原因,有公司的业绩预报中解释。

不过,从预报的数据显示来看,也有企业例外。牧原股份预计前三季度净利润将有上涨,对于上涨的原因,则解释是“基于公司对2017年7-9月份平均每头生猪可能的盈利水平区间的预计,以及依据生产、销售计划对2017年7-9月份生猪出栏量区间的预计。”

公司同时提示,生猪市场价格的大幅下降或上升,将会导致公司盈利水平的大幅下降或上升,对公司的经营业绩产生重大影响。未来生猪市场价格的大幅下滑以及疫病的发生、原材料价格的上涨等,仍然可能造成公司的业绩下滑。敬请广大投资者审慎决策,注意投资风险。而且,生猪市场价格变动的风险是整个生猪行业面临的系统性风险,对任何一家生猪生产者来讲都是客观存在的、不可控制的外部风险。“生猪市场价格的不可控性给公司2017年1-9月份的经营业绩预计带来较大的困难,一旦有证据表明实际经营情况与上述业绩预计区间存在明显差异,公司将及时公告。”

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170824/31171241.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/12/27 17:16:49

Powered by China
China