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险资投资思路分化

2017-08-18 11:04:45   中国经济网

随着上市公司中报业绩的逐渐披露,险资在上市公司前十大流通股股东中开始现身。目前共有75家险资机构出现在134只股票的前十大流通股股东名单中。业内人士指出,近期保险资金对后市看法出现分化。有观点认为,在标的选择上有可操作空间,下半年有业绩和“故事”共同支撑的个股有获利可能性。另有观点认为,权益类投资比例应当有所控制,且适当向防御性板块倾斜。

增持71家新进34家

持仓变动方面,截至目前,险资二季度增持个股为71只、新进34只、减持24只,还有23只持股数量不变。分别来看,在增持的个股中,华夏银行是本期险资增持最多的个股,增持数量达46,483万股。此外,长江证券、三安光电增持数量分别达8,445万股和4,918万股。

新进个股方面,东方财富、哈药股份、大华股份、恒力股份、兴源环境5只股新进数量均超过1000万股;从二季度持仓市值来看,东方财富、大华股份等八只股持仓市值超过1亿元。减持个股方面,山东钢铁是二季度险资减持最多的个股,减持数量达5,234万股。此外,国电南瑞、厦门钨业、省广股份三只股被减持数量均超过2000万股。

整体来看,目前已披露的数据显示,险资持股占流通股比例变动最高的个股是龙马环卫,达8.55%。另外,喜临门、长江证券、中钢国际、扬杰科技、三安光电5只个股险资的持股占流通股比例变动分别为2.57%、1.78%、1.63%、1.29%、1.21%。另外,从行业分布来看,险资二季度增持及新进个股主要集中在化工、食品饮料、电气设备、房地产等行业。

青睐低估值蓝筹

从二季度持股动向可以看出,险资偏爱传统低估值、消费类蓝筹股。某大型股份制券商分析师指出,虽然上半年大盘表现平平,但一向注重价值投资的保险资金通过加仓绩优蓝筹股获益匪浅,下半年估值合理、基本面优质的大蓝筹还会受到保险资金青睐。从收益来看,上半年保险资金投资收益创新高。保险公司权益类投资比重大幅上升,投资收益显著增加。在同期保险业投资业绩贡献方面,权益类投资起到较大作用。

“近期保险资金没有出现净卖出现象,但机构对于后市的看法出现一定分化。”保险机构人士表示,在多家保险机构对多个行业的上市公司进行密集调研之后,有观点认为,在标的选择上有可操作空间,下半年有业绩和“故事”共同支撑的个股有获利可能性。另一部分观点则认为,目前市场震荡加剧情况将持续一段时间,权益类投资比例应当有所控制,且适当向防御性板块倾斜。

国泰君安非银首席分析师刘欣琦认为,险资的长期投资逻辑有望逐步兑现,在竞争格局改变、保险需求提升、代理人数量增长的情况下,大型险企新业务价值有望维持高增长。短期来看,上市险企资产配置压力改善,有望在三季度迎来利润增速拐点。

华泰证券分析师沈娟认为,保险将是今年大金融逻辑较强的子板块,预计今年新业务价值增速35%至45%。

民生证券周晓萍认为,未来投资收益稳增长,利率抬升迎来保险资产再配置机会。债券收益率的上行带来保险公司再投资及新增配置收益率上升,在目前市场环境下,保险公司可以抓住机会加大对债券类资产的配置,以提高投资收益率。

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