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创业板业绩增速连续下滑 资金撤离态势延续

2017-07-28 13:59:13   中国经济网

创业板上市公司2017年中报业绩预告已全部披露完毕。虽然上半年创业板逾七成公司预喜,但整体净利润增速连续五个季度下滑,这也造成创业板指数持续低迷,估值首次逼近纳斯达克指数。为避免“踩雷”,公募基金开始严控对创业板的配置。

权重股“爆雷”拖累创业板业绩

国金证券统计显示,创业板2017年中报净利润同比增速为7%,考虑到温氏股份的巨大体量对创业板业绩的干扰较大,剔除后的创业板中报业绩增速为24.58%,较今年一季度的27.9%出现下滑。

其中,计算机和传媒板块成为业绩“重灾区”。创业板计算机公司占所有A股计算机公司的一半,剔除重组公司后,行业净利润增速为-4.1%,与全部A股计算机板块18.9%的净利润增速相比下滑明显。与之相似,创业板传媒公司剔除重组公司后,净利润增速为-20.9%,相比全部A股传媒板块14.9%的净利润增速也是下滑明显。

在业内人士看来,创业板业绩增长“失速”一方面源于并购重组大潮的回落;另一方面,温氏股份、乐视网、同花顺等权重股业绩出现“变脸”也拖累整体盈利。

比如,创业板第一大权重股温氏股份最新发布的中报业绩预告显示,受上半年商品猪和商品鸡价格大幅下滑的影响,预计上半年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为16亿元-19亿元,同比下滑73.71%-77.86%。另一大权重股乐视网预计上半年亏损6.37亿元-6.42亿元,而去年同期公司还盈利2.84亿元。

国金证券分析师李立峰指出,2017年二季度中,创业板中大市值公司业绩增速明显下滑,但中小市值公司业绩增速有所回升。这意味着权重股业绩频“爆雷”,拖累创业板整体业绩下滑。

创业板估值逼近纳斯达克

随着业绩增速的连续下滑,创业板表现也持续低迷。目前,创业板估值已逼近有着“美国创业板”之称的纳斯达克。

7月26日,上证综指收红,创业板指数却下跌,收报1681.31点。创业板指数年内已经累计下跌了14%,而纳斯达克指数却一路走高,从2016年年底的5383.12点涨到目前的逾6400点,累计升幅达到19%。

从市盈率来看,目前中国创业板指数约为36.2倍,略高于纳斯达克指数的34.3倍,为创业板指数2010年启动以来最小差值。

事实上,2017年以来中国创业板指数不仅与纳斯达克指数走势相反,与A股市场的上证综指、沪深300、上证50相比也呈现分化态势。

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