新闻 > 经济
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China

机构预测二季度GDP同比增长6.8% 货政调整可能性非常小

2017-07-07 09:48:20   

机构预测二季度GDP同比增长6.8% 继续保持稳中向好

专家表示,从经济基本面的角度,货币政策调整可能性非常小,金融监管和流动性紧平衡将贯穿全年

■本报记者 苏诗钰

7月17日,国家统计局将召开国民经济运行情况新闻发布会,公布二季度GDP和6月份高频经济数据。《证券日报》记者整理发现,多家机构表示二季度中国经济继续保持稳中向好的态势,预计GDP同比增长6.8%,增速较一季度放缓0.1个百分点。

中银国际证券首席宏观分析师朱启兵认为,二季度经济数据继续保持平稳,从PMI数据看,二季度非制造业商务活动指数均值为54.5%,略低于一季度的54.6%;制造业PMI均值为51.4%,低于一季度的51.6%。不过,无论是制造业PMI还是非制造业商务活动指数,均从4月份起呈向上趋势。综合看,二季度经济依然韧性较强,预计二季度GDP同比增长6.8%。

招商证券预计二季度GDP同比增长6.7%至6.8%。展望下半年,投资回落将拖累国内经济表现,但是在消费和出口需求的支撑下,下半年GDP增速回落幅度有限,完成全年经济增长目标,并力争更好成绩的问题不大。因而,从经济基本面的角度,货币政策调整可能性非常小,金融监管和流动性紧平衡将贯穿全年。

日前,第一创业一位分析师告诉《证券日报》记者,从4月份至6月份的生产情况来看,生产虽有所减速但下行幅度不大,总体保持相对平稳,预计二季度我国实际GDP同比增长6.8%。

近期,中国社科院财经战略研究院发布的课题组报告预计,2017年二季度GDP增长6.8%,CPI上涨1.4%。

中国社科院财经战略研究院综合经济战略研究部副主任、研究员汪红驹表示,2017年二季度我国经济继续保持稳中向好态势。工业生产加快,新动能继续积聚;固定资产投资、房地产投资、民间投资增速略有提高,基建投资增速都高于去年同期;中上游行业继续去产能,部分行业在前期去库存之后补库存。

“2017年上半年加强了三重监管。在房地产市场,热点城市房地产价格继续上涨,更多的城市加入需求侧限购限贷行列,房地产市场整体上恢复理性。金融严监管配合稳健中性货币政策,形成双支柱宏观金融调控框架,维护金融稳定,保障金融安全。财政严监管规范地方政府债务,化解潜在风险。”汪红驹表示。

中国社科院报告指出,因国际经济好转,国际油价回落,国内稳增长政策的空间和潜力加大,宏观政策应付各种意外冲击的能力加强。应抓住经济稳中趋好的机遇,在确保经济增长不突破底线的前提下,推进供给侧结构性改革,化解经济潜在风险,增强经济可持续发展的潜力,促进经济健康发展。预计2017年三季GDP增长6.7%左右,完成全年增长6.5%的目标不成问题。

(责编:王子侯、乔雪峰)

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170707/30932779.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/27 22:18:12

Powered by China
China