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中国外汇储备连续三个月回升 外汇供求趋向基本平衡

2017-05-08 11:07:50   经济参考报

根据中国人民银行最新公布的数据,截至2017年4月30日,我国外汇储备规模为30295亿美元,较3月末小幅上升204亿美元,增幅为0.7%,为连续第三个月出现回升。

影响外汇储备规模变动的因素,主要包括央行在外汇市场的操作;外汇储备投资资产的价格波动;由于美元作为外汇储备的计量货币,其他各种货币相对美元的汇率变动可能导致外汇储备规模的变化;根据国际货币基金组织关于外汇储备的定义,外汇储备在支持“走出去”等方面的资金运用记账时,会从外汇储备规模内调整至规模外,反之亦然。

国家外汇管理局有关负责人表示,4月,我国跨境资金流动继续向均衡状态收敛,外汇供求趋向基本平衡;国际金融市场上,非美元货币相对美元总体升值,资产价格有所上升。这些因素综合作用,推动了外汇储备规模的回升。

该负责人表示,2017年年初以来,我国宏观经济运行延续了稳中求进、稳中向好的发展态势,经济增速略有回升,一季度经济增长6.9%,比去年第四季度提升0.1个百分点,其他各项经济指标均有所好转。全球经济继续缓慢复苏,国际金融市场运行相对平稳,人民币汇率保持基本稳定,跨境资金流动和外汇市场供求基本平衡。受此提振,企业购汇更趋理性,市场主体结汇意愿有所增强。

展望2017年,国家外汇管理局局长潘功胜表示,我国国际收支将继续呈现“经常账户顺差、资本和金融账户(不含储备资产)逆差”的格局,跨境资本流动继续向均衡状态收敛。一方面,我国经常账户顺差将继续保持在合理区间内,货物贸易顺差仍会维持一定规模,服务贸易逆差增速将逐步趋稳,我国境外投资整体收益有望增长。另一方面,随着国内经济平稳增长,金融市场对外开放不断深化,对外投资更趋理性,人民币汇率市场化形成机制改革稳步推进,我国资本和金融账户逆差有望收窄。

上述负责人表示,往前看,随着供给侧结构性改革深入推进,我国经济基本面将进一步发挥稳中向好的基础性作用,人民币汇率预期保持基本稳定,跨境资金流动向均衡方面发展,这些因素都将推动外汇储备规模进一步趋向稳定。

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